Get Premium

Cancún vs CA La Paz Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXFri, 28 Aug 2026

Cancún

5th in table · 25 pts

WDDWW

Fri, 28 Aug 202602:00

1 : 2

Full time

CA La Paz

1st in table · 30 pts

LWDWW

Pre-match win probability

39.1%Cancún26.8%Draw34.1%CA La Paz

Our prediction

1X · Cancún

Cancún vs CA La Paz listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence39.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cancún 39.1%
  • Draw 26.8%
  • CA La Paz 34.1%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CancúnCA La Paz
Goals scored (avg)
2.32.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.2
Wins
79
Played
1515

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Cancún5W 4D 1L in last 10
  • 1 NovCancún2 – 0CDS Tampico MaderoW
  • 24 OctTepatitlán0 – 4CancúnW
  • 18 OctCancún1 – 1Venados FCD
  • 11 OctMineros de Zacatecas2 – 2CancúnD
  • 4 OctCancún1 – 0TapatíoW
  • 26 SeptTlaxcala4 – 1CancúnL
  • 20 SeptCancún3 – 0Alebrijes de OaxacaW
  • 16 SeptDorados1 – 1CancúnD
  • 12 SeptCorrecaminos Uat2 – 2CancúnD
  • 6 SeptCancún6 – 0Cruz Azul HidalgoW
CA La Paz6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctCA La Paz3 – 0DoradosW
  • 25 OctCDS Tampico Madero1 – 3CA La PazW
  • 17 OctCA La Paz2 – 2TlaxcalaD
  • 10 OctTapatío2 – 4CA La PazW
  • 3 OctCA La Paz1 – 2Venados FCL
  • 25 SeptAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 3CA La PazW
  • 19 SeptCA La Paz3 – 1Correcaminos UatW
  • 13 SeptLeones Negros UDG2 – 2CA La PazD
  • 5 SeptCA La Paz3 – 0Mineros de ZacatecasW
H2H
Head to headCancún 4W · 3D · CA La Paz 1W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 15 MarCancún1 – 1CA La Paz
  • 4 OctCA La Paz2 – 4Cancún
  • 20 AprCancún4 – 1CA La Paz
  • 2 NovCA La Paz1 – 1Cancún
  • 3 MarCancún2 – 2CA La Paz
  • 14 SeptCA La Paz1 – 4Cancún
  • 16 FebCA La Paz1 – 0Cancún
  • 3 AugCancún2 – 0CA La Paz

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals53.9% · 1.7546.1% · 2.05

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Cancún2.4
Draw3.5
CA La Paz2.75

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.57

Cancún

Chance39.1%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance26.8%
Odds3.5

CA La Paz

Chance34.1%
Odds2.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.4

CancúnCA La Paz
Recent form49%51%
Attack46%54%
Defence53%47%
Goals model46%54%
Head-to-head69%31%
Overall53%47%

Trends

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Cancún scored 2.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Cancún conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 10.

Cancún vs CA La Paz: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Fri, 28 Aug 2026

Cancún meet CA La Paz in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 28 August 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Cancún at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cancún vs CA La Paz FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Cancún vs CA La Paz match?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 28 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Cancún vs CA La Paz?

Cancún is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.