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Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 16 Aug 2026

Amarante

14th in table · 8 pts

LLLD

Sun, 16 Aug 202614:00

0 : 1

Full time

Lusitânia Lourosa

2nd in table · 18 pts

WDWDD

Pre-match win probability

35.3%Amarante30%Draw34.6%Lusitânia Lourosa

Our prediction

X2 · Amarante

Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence35.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Amarante 35.3%
  • Draw 30%
  • Lusitânia Lourosa 34.6%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

AmaranteLusitânia Lourosa
Goals scored (avg)
–1.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.1
Wins
25
Played
98

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Amarante0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Lusitânia Lourosa5W 4D 0L in last 9
    • 1 NovLusitânia Lourosa1 – 1FarenseD
    • 25 OctFelgueiras 19322 – 2Lusitânia LourosaD
    • 18 OctLusitânia Lourosa2 – 1Os LimianosW
    • 11 OctLusitânia Lourosa1 – 1ChavesD
    • 20 SeptMadalena1 – 3Lusitânia LourosaW
    • 14 SeptSporting CP B1 – 2Lusitânia LourosaW
    • 7 SeptLusitânia Lourosa2 – 1AVSW
    • 29 AugAcademica0 – 2Lusitânia LourosaW
    • 22 AugLusitânia Lourosa2 – 2TorreenseD
    H2H
    Head to headAmarante 1W · 2D · Lusitânia Lourosa 4W · 1.6 goals a game
    • 26 AprAmarante1 – 1Lusitânia Lourosa
    • 1 MarLusitânia Lourosa2 – 1Amarante
    • 4 JanLusitânia Lourosa1 – 0Amarante
    • 14 SeptAmarante1 – 0Lusitânia Lourosa
    • 20 MayAmarante0 – 0Lusitânia Lourosa
    • 30 AprLusitânia Lourosa1 – 0Amarante
    • 12 JanLusitânia Lourosa2 – 1Amarante

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
    1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
    2.5 goals10% · 2.3515% · 1.57
    3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5%
    No51.5%

    Double chance

    1X51.7%
    X248.3%

    Match result

    Amarante2.55
    Draw3
    Lusitânia Lourosa2.6

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5% · 1.91
    No51.5% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance51.7%
    Odds1.4

    X2

    Chance48.3%
    Odds1.5

    Amarante

    Chance35.3%
    Odds2.55

    Draw

    Chance30%
    Odds3

    Lusitânia Lourosa

    Chance34.6%
    Odds2.6

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: X2 at 1.5

    AmaranteLusitânia Lourosa
    Recent form5%95%
    Attack34%66%
    Defence34%66%
    Goals model34%66%
    Head-to-head29%71%
    Overall51%49%

    Trends

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Lusitânia Lourosa scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Lusitânia Lourosa conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

    Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

    Amarante meet Lusitânia Lourosa in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 16 August 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Amarante at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa match?

    Kickoff is 14:00 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

    Amarante is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.