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Leixoes vs Tondela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 16 Aug 2026

Leixoes

13th in table · 10 pts

Sun, 16 Aug 202615:30

1 : 0

Full time

Tondela

7th in table · 15 pts

WWWLW

Pre-match win probability

37.2%Leixoes28.8%Draw34.1%Tondela

Our prediction

Leixoes

Leixoes is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence37.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leixoes 37.2%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Tondela 34.1%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

LeixoesTondela
Goals scored (avg)
–1.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1
Wins
35
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Leixoes0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Tondela6W 0D 3L in last 9
    • 1 NovTondela3 – 2Felgueiras 1932W
    • 25 OctAVS2 – 1TondelaL
    • 18 OctTondela2 – 0AlvercaW
    • 10 OctTondela1 – 0TorreenseW
    • 19 SeptImortal Albufeira1 – 5TondelaW
    • 12 SeptPortimonense0 – 2TondelaW
    • 5 SeptTondela3 – 0FC Porto BW
    • 28 AugUnião de Leiria2 – 0TondelaL
    • 21 AugTondela0 – 2AcademicaL
    H2H
    Head to headLeixoes 2W · 3D · Tondela 4W · 4 goals a game
    • 10 MarLeixoes0 – 1Tondela
    • 12 OctTondela2 – 1Leixoes
    • 3 MarLeixoes1 – 1Tondela
    • 7 OctTondela4 – 2Leixoes
    • 8 AprTondela2 – 3Leixoes
    • 24 OctLeixoes1 – 1Tondela
    • 22 NovTondela3 – 1Leixoes
    • 18 DecLeixoes4 – 4Tondela
    • 15 OctLeixoes3 – 2Tondela

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
    1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
    2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
    3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes51.5%
    No48.5%

    Double chance

    1X52.2%
    X247.8%

    Match result

    Leixoes2.4
    Draw3.1
    Tondela2.62

    Both teams to score

    Yes51.5% · 1.8
    No48.5% · 1.91

    1X

    Chance52.2%
    Odds1.4

    X2

    Chance47.8%
    Odds1.53

    Leixoes

    Chance37.2%
    Odds2.4

    Draw

    Chance28.8%
    Odds3.1

    Tondela

    Chance34.1%
    Odds2.62

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Leixoes at 2.4

    LeixoesTondela
    Recent form5%95%
    Attack34%66%
    Defence33%67%
    Goals model34%66%
    Head-to-head39%61%
    Overall52%48%

    Trends

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Tondela scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Tondela conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

    Leixoes vs Tondela: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

    Leixoes meet Tondela in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 16 August 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leixoes at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Leixoes vs Tondela FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Leixoes vs Tondela match?

    Kickoff is 15:30 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Leixoes vs Tondela?

    Leixoes is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.2%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.