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Arbroath vs Ayr Utd Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Arbroath

8th in table · 11 pts

LLLLW

Sat, 7 Nov 202616:00

4 : 1

Full time

Ayr Utd

7th in table · 15 pts

WDLWW

Pre-match win probability

31.2%Arbroath31.2%Draw37.7%Ayr Utd

Our prediction

X2 · Arbroath

Arbroath vs Ayr Utd listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence73.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Arbroath 31.2%
  • Draw 31.2%
  • Ayr Utd 37.7%

Season statistics

Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ArbroathAyr Utd
Goals scored (avg)
0.51.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.1
Wins
34
Played
1312

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Arbroath2W 1D 7L in last 10
  • 3 NovArbroath1 – 0Queen of the SouthW
  • 31 OctArbroath0 – 4Raith RoversL
  • 24 OctLivingston1 – 0ArbroathL
  • 17 OctInverness CT2 – 0ArbroathL
  • 10 OctArbroath1 – 2MortonL
  • 3 OctPartick3 – 0ArbroathL
  • 25 SeptArbroath2 – 1Queen's ParkW
  • 19 SeptStenhousemuir1 – 0ArbroathL
  • 12 SeptRaith Rovers4 – 0ArbroathL
  • 5 SeptArbroath1 – 1DunfermlineD
Ayr Utd4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 3 NovAnnan Athletic0 – 2Ayr UtdW
  • 31 OctAyr Utd3 – 2Queen's ParkW
  • 16 OctAyr Utd0 – 1PartickL
  • 10 OctAyr Utd1 – 1DunfermlineD
  • 3 OctLivingston1 – 2Ayr UtdW
  • 25 SeptAyr Utd0 – 1StenhousemuirL
  • 18 SeptQueen's Park0 – 2Ayr UtdW
  • 12 SeptAyr Utd1 – 3Inverness CTL
  • 5 SeptPartick1 – 0Ayr UtdL
H2H
Head to headArbroath 1W · 4D · Ayr Utd 5W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 1 AugAyr Utd2 – 0Arbroath
  • 11 AprAyr Utd1 – 0Arbroath
  • 3 MarArbroath1 – 1Ayr Utd
  • 15 NovAyr Utd1 – 1Arbroath
  • 1 AugArbroath1 – 1Ayr Utd
  • 19 JulAyr Utd4 – 0Arbroath
  • 13 AprAyr Utd5 – 0Arbroath
  • 23 JanAyr Utd2 – 0Arbroath
  • 13 JanArbroath0 – 0Ayr Utd
  • 2 SeptArbroath2 – 1Ayr Utd

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.8% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X31.2%
1234.4%
X234.4%

Match result

Arbroath2.9
Draw2.9
Ayr Utd2.4

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance31.2%
Odds1.5

12

Chance34.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance34.4%
Odds1.36

Arbroath

Chance31.2%
Odds2.9

Draw

Chance31.2%
Odds2.9

Ayr Utd

Chance37.7%
Odds2.4

First half result

Arbroath27.2% · 3.3
Draw42.8% · 2.1
Ayr Utd30% · 3

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.4

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.36

ArbroathAyr Utd
Recent form35%65%
Attack29%71%
Defence37%63%
Goals model29%71%
Head-to-head30%70%
Overall45%55%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Arbroath scored 0.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

Arbroath conceded 1.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 6 of those 10.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Arbroath vs Ayr Utd: prediction & preview

Scotland · Championship · Sat, 7 Nov 2026

Arbroath meet Ayr Utd in the Scotland, Championship on 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ayr Utd at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Arbroath vs Ayr Utd FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Arbroath vs Ayr Utd match?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 7 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Arbroath vs Ayr Utd?

Ayr Utd is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.