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Morton vs Stenhousemuir Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Scotland · ChampionshipSat, 7 Nov 2026

Morton

9th in table · 10 pts

LWWWL

Sat, 7 Nov 202616:00

4 : 3

Full time

Stenhousemuir

4th in table · 23 pts

DLLLW

Pre-match win probability

34.6%Morton29.2%Draw36.2%Stenhousemuir

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Morton

Morton vs Stenhousemuir listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence75.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Morton 34.6%
  • Draw 29.2%
  • Stenhousemuir 36.2%

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MortonStenhousemuir
Goals scored (avg)
1.10.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.4
Wins
37
Played
1213

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Morton3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 3 NovMorton0 – 1Kelty HeartsL
  • 31 OctPartick2 – 3MortonW
  • 17 OctMorton2 – 0Queen's ParkW
  • 10 OctArbroath1 – 2MortonW
  • 3 OctMorton1 – 2Raith RoversL
  • 25 SeptInverness CT2 – 0MortonL
  • 19 SeptMorton0 – 1DunfermlineL
  • 11 SeptMorton1 – 4LivingstonL
  • 5 SeptQueen's Park2 – 1MortonL
Stenhousemuir4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 3 NovStenhousemuir4 – 1Berwick RangersW
  • 30 OctStenhousemuir0 – 3LivingstonL
  • 27 OctStenhousemuir0 – 1DunfermlineL
  • 24 OctPartick3 – 0StenhousemuirL
  • 17 OctStenhousemuir1 – 1Raith RoversD
  • 10 OctInverness CT2 – 0StenhousemuirL
  • 25 SeptAyr Utd0 – 1StenhousemuirW
  • 19 SeptStenhousemuir1 – 0ArbroathW
  • 15 SeptStenhousemuir1 – 0PartickW
  • 11 SeptStenhousemuir0 – 3Heart Of MidlothianL
H2H
Head to headMorton 3W · 0D · Stenhousemuir 2W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 8 AugStenhousemuir2 – 0Morton
  • 17 JanStenhousemuir4 – 0Morton
  • 15 JulMorton3 – 0Stenhousemuir
  • 28 JunStenhousemuir0 – 1Morton
  • 21 JulMorton2 – 0Stenhousemuir

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.4% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.4% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes52.7%
No47.3%

Double chance

1X32.4%
1235.1%
X232.4%

Match result

Morton2.62
Draw3.1
Stenhousemuir2.5

Both teams to score

Yes52.7% · 1.75
No47.3% · 1.95

1X

Chance32.4%
Odds1.44

12

Chance35.1%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance32.4%
Odds1.44

Morton

Chance34.6%
Odds2.62

Draw

Chance29.2%
Odds3.1

Stenhousemuir

Chance36.2%
Odds2.5

First half result

Morton27.9% · 3.2
Draw42.4% · 2.1
Stenhousemuir29.7% · 3

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.4

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.33

MortonStenhousemuir
Recent form41%59%
Attack58%42%
Defence45%55%
Goals model58%42%
Head-to-head60%40%
Overall49%51%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Morton scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Morton conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Morton vs Stenhousemuir: prediction & preview

Scotland · Championship · Sat, 7 Nov 2026

Morton meet Stenhousemuir in the Scotland, Championship on 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Stenhousemuir at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Morton vs Stenhousemuir FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Morton vs Stenhousemuir match?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 7 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Morton vs Stenhousemuir?

Stenhousemuir is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.