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Aris vs AEK Larnaca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Cyprus · 1. DivisionSun, 18 Oct 2026

Aris

LWWWW

Sun, 18 Oct 202617:00

1 : 1

Full time

AEK Larnaca

Pre-match win probability

33.7%Aris29.9%Draw36.4%AEK Larnaca

Our prediction

AEK Larnaca

AEK Larnaca is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.55
Confidence36.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aris 33.7%
  • Draw 29.9%
  • AEK Larnaca 36.4%

Season statistics

1. Division · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ArisAEK Larnaca
Goals scored (avg)
2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.2–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Aris6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovAris2 – 1AnorthosisW
  • 25 OctAEL1 – 3ArisW
  • 14 OctAris4 – 0Ethnikos AchnaW
  • 11 OctOlympiakos1 – 2ArisW
  • 3 OctAris1 – 2RigaL
  • 26 SeptAris4 – 2Omonia 29is MaiouW
  • 20 SeptAris0 – 0KarmiotissaD
  • 14 SeptKrasava Ypsonas0 – 1ArisW
  • 7 SeptAris1 – 4Omonia NicosiaL
AEK Larnaca0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headAris 2W · 2D · AEK Larnaca 5W · 2.6 goals a game
    • 22 MayAris3 – 4AEK Larnaca
    • 25 AprAEK Larnaca2 – 0Aris
    • 10 JanAris1 – 0AEK Larnaca
    • 22 SeptAEK Larnaca3 – 2Aris
    • 27 AprAris1 – 0AEK Larnaca
    • 29 MarAEK Larnaca1 – 1Aris
    • 9 FebAris1 – 1AEK Larnaca
    • 3 NovAEK Larnaca2 – 0Aris
    • 14 AprAris0 – 1AEK Larnaca

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
    1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
    2.5 goals13.4% · 1.7511.4% · 2.05
    3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes58.9%
    No41.1%

    Double chance

    1X51%
    X249%

    Match result

    Aris2.75
    Draw3.1
    AEK Larnaca2.55

    Both teams to score

    Yes58.9% · 1.57
    No41.1% · 2.25

    1X

    Chance51%
    Odds1.44

    X2

    Chance49%
    Odds1.5

    Aris

    Chance33.7%
    Odds2.75

    Draw

    Chance29.9%
    Odds3.1

    AEK Larnaca

    Chance36.4%
    Odds2.55

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: AEK Larnaca at 2.55

    ArisAEK Larnaca
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack67%33%
    Defence64%36%
    Goals model67%33%
    Head-to-head33%67%
    Overall48%52%

    Trends

    Trend · 1. Division

    Aris scored 2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · 1. Division

    Aris conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · 1. Division

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · 1. Division

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Aris vs AEK Larnaca: prediction & preview

    Cyprus · 1. Division · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

    Aris meet AEK Larnaca in the Cyprus, 1. Division on 18 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AEK Larnaca at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Aris vs AEK Larnaca FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Aris vs AEK Larnaca match?

    Kickoff is 17:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Aris vs AEK Larnaca?

    AEK Larnaca is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.4%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.