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Atletico-MG vs Vitoria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 29 Aug 2026

Atletico-MG

WWLLL

Sat, 29 Aug 202622:30

2 : 1

Full time

Vitoria

WLDDL

Pre-match win probability

53.5%Atletico-MG26.8%Draw19.7%Vitoria

Our prediction

1 · Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG vs Vitoria listed tip from the board.

Odds1.75
Confidence53.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico-MG 53.5%
  • Draw 26.8%
  • Vitoria 19.7%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico-MGVitoria
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.4

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico-MG5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 29 OctAtletico-MG0 – 1CruzeiroL
  • 27 OctFlamengo3 – 2Atletico-MGL
  • 21 OctAtletico Torque2 – 0Atletico-MGL
  • 17 OctAtletico-MG1 – 0CoritibaW
  • 14 OctAtletico-MG3 – 0Atletico TorqueW
  • 11 OctAtletico-MG2 – 1SantosW
  • 9 OctAtletico Paranaense2 – 2Atletico-MGD
  • 3 OctAtletico-MG1 – 0RB BragantinoW
  • 19 SeptAtletico-MG1 – 1Chapecoense-scD
  • 16 SeptAtletico-MG4 – 2SantosW
Vitoria2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctCoritiba2 – 0VitoriaL
  • 24 OctVitoria1 – 1Atletico ParanaenseD
  • 20 OctCorinthians1 – 1VitoriaD
  • 11 OctSao Paulo2 – 1VitoriaL
  • 8 OctVitoria4 – 0Chapecoense-scW
  • 20 SeptVitoria1 – 3CruzeiroL
  • 13 SeptMirassol2 – 2VitoriaD
  • 8 SeptVitoria1 – 0GremioW
  • 3 SeptVitoria0 – 2Vasco DA GamaL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.6% · 2.0513.6% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X62.9%
X237.1%

Match result

Atletico-MG1.75
Draw3.5
Vitoria4.75

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance62.9%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance37.1%
Odds2

Atletico-MG

Chance53.5%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance26.8%
Odds3.5

Vitoria

Chance19.7%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.75

Atletico-MGVitoria
Recent form65%35%
Attack57%43%
Defence53%47%
Goals model57%43%
Overall73%27%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Atletico-MG scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Atletico-MG conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Atletico-MG vs Vitoria: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 29 Aug 2026

Atletico-MG meet Vitoria in the Brazil, Serie A on 29 August 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico-MG at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico-MG vs Vitoria FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atletico-MG vs Vitoria match?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 29 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atletico-MG vs Vitoria?

Atletico-MG is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.