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Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 20 Sept 2026

Atletico Paranaense

DWLDL

Sun, 20 Sept 202623:30

1 : 1

Live

Bahia

LWLDW

Pre-match win probability

42.3%Atletico Paranaense28.8%Draw28.8%Bahia

Our prediction

X2 · Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.62
Confidence42.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Paranaense 42.3%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Bahia 28.8%

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico ParanaenseBahia
Goals scored (avg)
1.91.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.11.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico Paranaense2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 30 OctGremio2 – 0Atletico ParanaenseL
  • 24 OctVitoria1 – 1Atletico ParanaenseD
  • 17 OctAtletico Paranaense0 – 2PalmeirasL
  • 12 OctChapecoense-sc1 – 4Atletico ParanaenseW
  • 9 OctAtletico Paranaense2 – 2Atletico-MGD
  • 12 SeptCoritiba3 – 3Atletico ParanaenseD
  • 6 SeptCruzeiro3 – 1Atletico ParanaenseL
  • 30 AugAtletico Paranaense3 – 3FluminenseD
  • 25 AugBotafogo2 – 3Atletico ParanaenseW
Bahia6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 29 OctBahia3 – 2Sao PauloW
  • 25 OctSantos1 – 1BahiaD
  • 18 OctBahia0 – 3FlamengoL
  • 11 OctBahia1 – 0MirassolW
  • 9 OctPalmeiras1 – 0BahiaL
  • 15 SeptBahia2 – 1RemoW
  • 5 SeptRB Bragantino2 – 3BahiaW
  • 30 AugBahia3 – 2InternacionalW
  • 23 AugVitoria0 – 2BahiaW
H2H
Head to headAtletico Paranaense 3W · 2D · Bahia 4W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 2 AprBahia3 – 0Atletico Paranaense
  • 24 NovBahia1 – 1Atletico Paranaense
  • 10 JulAtletico Paranaense1 – 3Bahia
  • 12 NovBahia1 – 1Atletico Paranaense
  • 16 JulAtletico Paranaense2 – 0Bahia
  • 13 JulAtletico Paranaense2 – 1Bahia
  • 22 JunBahia1 – 2Atletico Paranaense
  • 9 OctAtletico Paranaense0 – 2Bahia
  • 25 JunBahia2 – 1Atletico Paranaense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals12.9% · 1.8512.2% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.5% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X54.9%
X245.1%

Match result

Atletico Paranaense2.25
Draw3.3
Bahia3.3

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance54.9%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.1%
Odds1.62

Atletico Paranaense

Chance42.3%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.3

Bahia

Chance28.8%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.62

Atletico ParanaenseBahia
Recent form34%66%
Attack53%47%
Defence35%65%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall59%41%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Atletico Paranaense scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Atletico Paranaense conceded 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Atletico Paranaense meet Bahia in the Brazil, Serie A on 20 September 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Paranaense at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia match?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?

Atletico Paranaense is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.