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Bulgaria vs Iceland Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueFri, 13 Nov 2026

Bulgaria

3rd in table · 4 pts

DLDLW

Fri, 13 Nov 202620:45

vs

Not started

Iceland

1st in table · 8 pts

LDWWD

Pre-match win probability

22.5%Bulgaria27.6%Draw49.9%Iceland

Our prediction

2 · Bulgaria

Bulgaria vs Iceland listed tip from the board.

Odds1.80
Confidence55.6%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bulgaria 22.5%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • Iceland 49.9%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BulgariaIceland
Goals scored (avg)
1.81
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.4
Wins
12
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Bulgaria4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 6 OctLuxembourg0 – 2BulgariaW
  • 3 OctIceland3 – 0BulgariaL
  • 29 SeptBulgaria0 – 0EstoniaD
  • 26 SeptBulgaria1 – 2LuxembourgL
  • 5 JunMoldova2 – 2BulgariaD
  • 1 JunBulgaria0 – 1MontenegroL
  • 30 MarIndonesia0 – 1BulgariaW
  • 27 MarSolomon Islands2 – 10BulgariaW
  • 18 NovBulgaria2 – 1GeorgiaW
  • 15 NovTürkiye2 – 0BulgariaL
Iceland2W 4D 4L in last 10
  • 6 OctEstonia0 – 0IcelandD
  • 3 OctIceland3 – 0BulgariaW
  • 29 SeptLuxembourg0 – 3IcelandW
  • 26 SeptIceland1 – 1EstoniaD
  • 10 JunArgentina3 – 0IcelandL
  • 31 MayJapan1 – 0IcelandL
  • 31 MarHaiti1 – 1IcelandD
  • 28 MarCanada2 – 2IcelandD
  • 26 FebMexico4 – 0IcelandL
  • 16 NovUkraine2 – 0IcelandL
H2H
Head to headBulgaria 0W · 0D · Iceland 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 3 OctIceland3 – 0Bulgaria

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.8% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48.9%
No51.1%

Double chance

1X24.8%
1236.4%
X238.8%

Match result

Bulgaria4
Draw3.25
Iceland1.8

Both teams to score

Yes48.9% · 1.91
No51.1% · 1.83

1X

Chance24.8%
Odds1.91

12

Chance36.4%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance38.8%
Odds1.22

Bulgaria

Chance22.5%
Odds4

Draw

Chance27.6%
Odds3.25

Iceland

Chance49.9%
Odds1.8

First half result

Bulgaria20.1% · 4.5
Draw42.1% · 2.15
Iceland37.7% · 2.4

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.4

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 1.80

BulgariaIceland
Recent form58%42%
Attack64%36%
Defence52%48%
Goals model64%36%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall31%69%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Bulgaria vs Iceland: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Fri, 13 Nov 2026

Bulgaria meet Iceland in the World, UEFA Nations League on 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Iceland at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.83. The both-teams-to-score potential is 38%.

Bulgaria are listed at 0 points per game. Iceland are listed at 50 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Bulgaria vs Iceland FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Bulgaria vs Iceland match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 13 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Bulgaria vs Iceland?

Iceland is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.