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Moldova vs Kazakhstan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueFri, 13 Nov 2026

Moldova

3rd in table · 4 pts

DLDWL

Fri, 13 Nov 202618:00

vs

Not started

Kazakhstan

4th in table · 2 pts

LDLLD

Pre-match win probability

34.6%Moldova32.1%Draw33.3%Kazakhstan

Our prediction

X2 · Moldova

Moldova vs Kazakhstan listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence69.4%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Moldova 34.6%
  • Draw 32.1%
  • Kazakhstan 33.3%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MoldovaKazakhstan
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.21.3
Wins
10
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Moldova1W 3D 6L in last 10
  • 6 OctMoldova0 – 4SlovakiaL
  • 2 OctKazakhstan1 – 2MoldovaW
  • 29 SeptMoldova1 – 1Faroe IslandsD
  • 26 SeptSlovakia2 – 0MoldovaL
  • 9 JunArmenia1 – 1MoldovaD
  • 5 JunMoldova2 – 2BulgariaD
  • 30 MarCyprus3 – 2MoldovaL
  • 26 MarMoldova0 – 2LithuaniaL
  • 16 NovIsrael4 – 1MoldovaL
  • 13 NovMoldova0 – 2ItalyL
Kazakhstan2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 6 OctKazakhstan2 – 2Faroe IslandsD
  • 2 OctKazakhstan1 – 2MoldovaL
  • 29 SeptSlovakia2 – 1KazakhstanL
  • 26 SeptFaroe Islands1 – 1KazakhstanD
  • 9 JunHungary3 – 1KazakhstanL
  • 6 JunArmenia1 – 1KazakhstanD
  • 31 MarKazakhstan1 – 0ComorosW
  • 25 MarKazakhstan2 – 0NamibiaW
  • 18 NovFaroe Islands1 – 0KazakhstanL
H2H
Head to headMoldova 2W · 0D · Kazakhstan 2W · 2 goals a game
  • 2 OctKazakhstan1 – 2Moldova
  • 29 MarKazakhstan0 – 1Moldova
  • 24 MarMoldova1 – 2Kazakhstan
  • 21 FebKazakhstan1 – 0Moldova

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals16.2% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.3% · 2.515.6% · 1.5
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.520% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes47.3%
No52.7%

Double chance

1X33.3%
1234.3%
X232.4%

Match result

Moldova2.6
Draw2.8
Kazakhstan2.7

Both teams to score

Yes47.3% · 1.95
No52.7% · 1.75

1X

Chance33.3%
Odds1.4

12

Chance34.3%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance32.4%
Odds1.44

Moldova

Chance34.6%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance32.1%
Odds2.8

Kazakhstan

Chance33.3%
Odds2.7

First half result

Moldova27.7% · 3.25
Draw45% · 2
Kazakhstan27.3% · 3.3

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.44

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.44

MoldovaKazakhstan
Recent form40%60%
Attack45%55%
Defence32%68%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall51%49%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Moldova scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Moldova conceded 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 10.

Moldova vs Kazakhstan: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Fri, 13 Nov 2026

Moldova meet Kazakhstan in the World, UEFA Nations League on 13 November 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Moldova at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 34.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75. The both-teams-to-score potential is 58%.

Moldova are listed at 10 points per game. Kazakhstan are listed at 45 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Moldova vs Kazakhstan FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Moldova vs Kazakhstan match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 13 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Moldova vs Kazakhstan?

Moldova is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 34.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.