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Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Liga 3Sun, 13 Sept 2026

Caldas

7th in table · 8 pts

LLWLD

Sun, 13 Sept 202617:00

2 : 0

Full time

Vitória de Sernache

10th in table · 4 pts

LWWWL

Pre-match win probability

45%Caldas27.7%Draw27.3%Vitória de Sernache

Our prediction

1X · Caldas

Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence45%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Caldas 45%
  • Draw 27.7%
  • Vitória de Sernache 27.3%

Season statistics

Liga 3 · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CaldasVitória de Sernache
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.11.1
Wins
21
Played
77

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Caldas1W 3D 4L in last 8
  • 24 OctCaldas3 – 3MafraD
  • 11 OctAtlético CP4 – 1CaldasL
  • 4 SeptUnião Santarém0 – 1CaldasW
  • 30 AugCaldas1 – 3SintrenseL
  • 23 AugCaldas2 – 4LouletanoL
  • 16 AugCaldas0 – 0Lusitano Évora 1911D
  • 8 AugCF Os Belenenses1 – 0CaldasL
  • 1 AugCaldas2 – 2AcademicaD
Vitória de Sernache4W 1D 3L in last 8
  • 25 OctUnião Santarém2 – 1Vitória de SernacheL
  • 18 OctBrito0 – 1Vitória de SernacheW
  • 10 OctVitória de Sernache1 – 0LouletanoW
  • 19 SeptVitória de Sernache2 – 1VarzimW
  • 6 SeptVitória de Sernache1 – 3CF Os BelenensesL
  • 30 AugNazarenos0 – 3Vitória de SernacheW
  • 23 AugOliveirense3 – 2Vitória de SernacheL
  • 16 AugVitória de Sernache0 – 0SC CovilhaD
H2H
Head to headCaldas 1W · 0D · Vitória de Sernache 0W · 3 goals a game
  • 3 NovVitória de Sernache1 – 2Caldas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals45.4% · 2.0854.6% · 1.73

Double chance

1X57.2%
X242.8%

Match result

Caldas2
Draw3.25
Vitória de Sernache3.3

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance57.2%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance42.8%
Odds1.67

Caldas

Chance45%
Odds2

Draw

Chance27.7%
Odds3.25

Vitória de Sernache

Chance27.3%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.25

CaldasVitória de Sernache
Recent form32%68%
Attack48%52%
Defence32%68%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall62%38%

Trends

Trend · Liga 3

Caldas scored 1.3 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Liga 3

Caldas conceded 2.1 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Liga 3

Failed to score in 2 of those 8.

Trend · Liga 3

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 8.

Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache: prediction & preview

Portugal · Liga 3 · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

Caldas meet Vitória de Sernache in the Portugal, Liga 3 on 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Caldas at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 13 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache?

Caldas is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 45%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.