Get Premium

Paredes vs Fafe Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Liga 3Sun, 13 Sept 2026

Paredes

WWLWW

Sun, 13 Sept 202620:30

2 : 1

Full time

Fafe

WDLDW

Pre-match win probability

42.8%Paredes30%Draw27.2%Fafe

Our prediction

X2 · Paredes

Paredes vs Fafe listed tip from the board.

Odds1.6
Confidence42.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Paredes 42.8%
  • Draw 30%
  • Fafe 27.2%

Season statistics

Liga 3 · highlighted side is stronger

ParedesFafe
Goals scored (avg)
–1.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.7

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Paredes0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Fafe5W 3D 1L in last 9
    • 30 OctFafe3 – 1Pacos FerreiraW
    • 25 OctAD Marco 090 – 0FafeD
    • 18 OctFelgueiras 19321 – 0FafeL
    • 11 OctFafe2 – 2TrofenseD
    • 20 SeptFafe4 – 0LajenseW
    • 6 SeptLeça0 – 3FafeW
    • 29 AugPacos Ferreira0 – 1FafeW
    • 21 AugFafe1 – 1Guimaraes BD
    • 16 AugSão João Ver1 – 3FafeW
    H2H
    Head to headParedes 0W · 3D · Fafe 3W · 1.2 goals a game
    • 22 MarFafe1 – 0Paredes
    • 8 MarParedes0 – 0Fafe
    • 29 NovFafe2 – 1Paredes
    • 17 AugParedes1 – 1Fafe
    • 28 JanParedes0 – 1Fafe
    • 9 OctFafe0 – 0Paredes

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals42.9% · 2.257.1% · 1.65

    Double chance

    1X56.1%
    X243.9%

    Match result

    Paredes2.1
    Draw3
    Fafe3.3

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance56.1%
    Odds1.25

    X2

    Chance43.9%
    Odds1.6

    Paredes

    Chance42.8%
    Odds2.1

    Draw

    Chance30%
    Odds3

    Fafe

    Chance27.2%
    Odds3.3

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: X2 at 1.6

    ParedesFafe
    Recent form5%95%
    Attack34%66%
    Defence30%70%
    Goals model34%66%
    Head-to-head25%75%
    Overall61%39%

    Trends

    Trend · Liga 3

    Fafe scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Liga 3

    Fafe conceded 0.7 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Liga 3

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · Liga 3

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

    Paredes vs Fafe: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Liga 3 · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

    Paredes meet Fafe in the Portugal, Liga 3 on 13 September 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Paredes at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Paredes vs Fafe FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Paredes vs Fafe match?

    Kickoff is 20:30 on 13 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Paredes vs Fafe?

    Paredes is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

    Paredes vs Fafe prediction, H2H and stats