Get Premium

Celje vs Aluminij Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Slovenia · 1. SNLSat, 10 Oct 2026

Celje

7th in table · 17 pts

LDDWD

Sat, 10 Oct 202616:30

1 : 0

Full time

Aluminij

6th in table · 17 pts

DLLDW

Pre-match win probability

60.7%Celje22.8%Draw16.6%Aluminij

Our prediction

1X · Celje

Celje vs Aluminij listed tip from the board.

Odds1.11
Confidence60.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Celje 60.7%
  • Draw 22.8%
  • Aluminij 16.6%

Season statistics

1. SNL · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CeljeAluminij
Goals scored (avg)
0.71.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.1
Wins
44
Played
1214

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Celje1W 4D 4L in last 9
  • 28 OctOlimpija Ljubljana1 – 1CeljeD
  • 25 OctKorotan Prevalje0 – 2CeljeW
  • 22 OctCelje2 – 2Red Bull SalzburgD
  • 18 OctMaribor0 – 0CeljeD
  • 15 OctCelje0 – 3Omonia NicosiaL
  • 20 SeptMura0 – 0CeljeD
  • 16 SeptBayer Leverkusen2 – 0CeljeL
  • 12 SeptBravo2 – 1CeljeL
  • 6 SeptCelje0 – 1KoperL
Aluminij2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctAluminij5 – 0RadomljeW
  • 28 OctNafta0 – 0AluminijD
  • 23 OctBrežice4 – 2AluminijL
  • 16 OctAluminij0 – 1Olimpija LjubljanaL
  • 2 OctAluminij0 – 0NK VarazdinD
  • 19 SeptMaribor2 – 2AluminijD
  • 13 SeptMura1 – 6AluminijW
  • 5 SeptAluminij0 – 0BravoD
  • 2 SeptAluminij0 – 2CeljeL
H2H
Head to headCelje 6W · 1D · Aluminij 2W · 3.9 goals a game
  • 2 SeptAluminij0 – 2Celje
  • 26 AprCelje5 – 0Aluminij
  • 5 MarAluminij2 – 1Celje
  • 1 NovCelje2 – 1Aluminij
  • 17 AugAluminij2 – 3Celje
  • 30 MarCelje2 – 2Aluminij
  • 4 FebCelje4 – 1Aluminij
  • 9 DecAluminij1 – 3Celje
  • 27 SeptCelje1 – 3Aluminij

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
3.5 goals10.3% · 2.2514.8% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X67%
X233%

Match result

Celje1.5
Draw4
Aluminij5.5

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance67%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance33%
Odds2.25

Celje

Chance60.7%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance22.8%
Odds4

Aluminij

Chance16.6%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.11

CeljeAluminij
Recent form41%59%
Attack29%71%
Defence49%51%
Goals model29%71%
Head-to-head72%28%
Overall79%21%

Trends

Trend · 1. SNL

Celje scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · 1. SNL

Celje conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · 1. SNL

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · 1. SNL

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Celje vs Aluminij: prediction & preview

Slovenia · 1. SNL · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Celje meet Aluminij in the Slovenia, 1. SNL on 10 October 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Celje at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Celje vs Aluminij FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Celje vs Aluminij match?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Celje vs Aluminij?

Celje is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.