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Cerro Largo vs Club Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 26 Sept 2026

Cerro Largo

LDLWL

Sat, 26 Sept 202619:00

0 : 2

Full time

Club Nacional

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

20.7%Cerro Largo26.4%Draw52.8%Club Nacional

Our prediction

Club Nacional

Club Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.7
Confidence52.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cerro Largo 20.7%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • Club Nacional 52.8%

Season statistics

Primera División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Cerro LargoClub Nacional
Goals scored (avg)
0.71.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.10.8

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Cerro Largo2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctRacing Montevideo3 – 1Cerro LargoL
  • 25 OctCerro Largo2 – 0Boston RiverW
  • 21 OctLiverpool Montevideo1 – 0Cerro LargoL
  • 16 OctCerro1 – 1Cerro LargoD
  • 11 OctCerro Largo0 – 1Albion FCL
  • 4 OctDanubio2 – 1Cerro LargoL
  • 30 SeptCerro Largo1 – 0RentistasW
  • 19 SeptDeportivo Maldonado2 – 0Cerro LargoL
  • 13 SeptCerro Largo0 – 0Central EspanolD
Club Nacional6W 1D 1L in last 8
  • 25 OctClub Nacional0 – 1Liverpool MontevideoL
  • 20 OctClub Nacional3 – 2Deportivo MaldonadoW
  • 16 OctClub Nacional3 – 0RentistasW
  • 11 OctCentral Espanol0 – 1Club NacionalW
  • 6 OctClub Nacional2 – 0Atletico TorqueW
  • 20 SeptClub Nacional3 – 2Defensor SportingW
  • 16 SeptProgreso0 – 1Club NacionalW
  • 12 SeptWanderers1 – 1Club NacionalD
H2H
Head to headCerro Largo 0W · 2D · Club Nacional 7W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 25 MarClub Nacional3 – 0Cerro Largo
  • 18 JanClub Nacional1 – 1Cerro Largo
  • 4 OctClub Nacional2 – 1Cerro Largo
  • 6 AprCerro Largo0 – 4Club Nacional
  • 13 OctCerro Largo0 – 1Club Nacional
  • 23 JunCerro Largo0 – 4Club Nacional
  • 6 AprClub Nacional1 – 0Cerro Largo
  • 26 AugCerro Largo2 – 2Club Nacional
  • 22 JulClub Nacional1 – 0Cerro Largo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X36.9%
X263.1%

Match result

Cerro Largo4.33
Draw3.4
Club Nacional1.7

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance36.9%
Odds2

X2

Chance63.1%
Odds1.17

Cerro Largo

Chance20.7%
Odds4.33

Draw

Chance26.4%
Odds3.4

Club Nacional

Chance52.8%
Odds1.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Club Nacional at 1.7

Cerro LargoClub Nacional
Recent form30%70%
Attack28%72%
Defence46%54%
Goals model28%72%
Head-to-head11%89%
Overall28%72%

Trends

Trend · Primera División

Cerro Largo scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

Cerro Largo conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Cerro Largo vs Club Nacional: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 26 Sept 2026

Cerro Largo meet Club Nacional in the Uruguay, Primera División on 26 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Club Nacional at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cerro Largo vs Club Nacional FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Cerro Largo vs Club Nacional match?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 26 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Cerro Largo vs Club Nacional?

Club Nacional is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.