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Congo DR vs Sierra Leone Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationThu, 12 Nov 2026

Congo DR

1st in table · 6 pts

LWWLD

Thu, 12 Nov 202617:00

3 : 1

Full time

Sierra Leone

4th in table · 0 pts

DWLLL

Pre-match win probability

73.8%Congo DR18.7%Draw7.5%Sierra Leone

Our prediction

1 · Congo DR

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence82%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Congo DR 73.8%
  • Draw 18.7%
  • Sierra Leone 7.5%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Congo DRSierra Leone
Goals scored (avg)
1.11
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.2
Wins
20
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Congo DR3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 5 OctUganda1 – 1Congo DRD
  • 2 OctCongo DR0 – 2UgandaL
  • 28 SeptZimbabwe1 – 2Congo DRW
  • 24 SeptCongo DR2 – 0Equatorial GuineaW
  • 1 JulEngland2 – 1Congo DRL
  • 28 JunCongo DR3 – 1UzbekistanW
  • 24 JunColombia1 – 0Congo DRL
  • 17 JunPortugal1 – 1Congo DRD
  • 9 JunCongo DR1 – 2ChileL
  • 3 JunCongo DR0 – 0DenmarkD
Sierra Leone3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 28 SeptEquatorial Guinea1 – 0Sierra LeoneL
  • 24 SeptSierra Leone2 – 3ZimbabweL
  • 9 JunLiberia3 – 1Sierra LeoneL
  • 6 JunSierra Leone1 – 0LiberiaW
  • 30 MarAzerbaijan1 – 1Sierra LeoneD
  • 12 OctDjibouti1 – 2Sierra LeoneW
  • 8 OctSierra Leone0 – 1Burkina FasoL
  • 9 SeptSierra Leone2 – 0EthiopiaW
  • 4 SeptGuinea-Bissau1 – 1Sierra LeoneD
  • 25 MarEgypt1 – 0Sierra LeoneL
H2H
Head to headCongo DR 1W · 0D · Sierra Leone 0W · 3 goals a game
  • 27 SeptCongo DR3 – 0Sierra Leone

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.7% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes35.6%
No64.4%

Double chance

1X46.2%
1241.3%
X212.5%

Match result

Congo DR1.22
Draw4.8
Sierra Leone12

Both teams to score

Yes35.6% · 2.6
No64.4% · 1.44

1X

Chance46.2%
Odds1.03

12

Chance41.3%
Odds1.15

X2

Chance12.5%
Odds3.8

Congo DR

Chance73.8%
Odds1.22

Draw

Chance18.7%
Odds4.8

Sierra Leone

Chance7.5%
Odds12

First half result

Congo DR56.4% · 1.6
Draw36.1% · 2.5
Sierra Leone7.5% · 12

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.33

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.22

Congo DRSierra Leone
Recent form52%48%
Attack52%48%
Defence51%49%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall91%9%

Trends

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Congo DR scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Congo DR conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Thu, 12 Nov 2026

Congo DR meet Sierra Leone in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 12 November 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Congo DR at 1.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 73.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Congo DR vs Sierra Leone match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 12 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Congo DR is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 73.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.6. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.