Get Premium

FS Jelgava vs Ogre United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · VirsligaSun, 8 Nov 2026

FS Jelgava

7th in table · 32 pts

LLLLL

Sun, 8 Nov 202612:00

4 : 0

Full time

Ogre United

10th in table · 19 pts

WLLLD

Pre-match win probability

50%FS Jelgava24.3%Draw25.7%Ogre United

Our prediction

Over 3.5 · FS Jelgava

FS Jelgava vs Ogre United listed tip from the board.

Odds2.20
Confidence45.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FS Jelgava 50%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Ogre United 25.7%

Season statistics

Virsliga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FS JelgavaOgre United
Goals scored (avg)
1.21
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.82
Wins
84
Played
3535

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FS Jelgava2W 1D 7L in last 10
  • 1 NovAuda4 – 3FS JelgavaL
  • 25 OctFS Jelgava0 – 1BFC DaugavpilsL
  • 18 OctFK Liepaja3 – 0FS JelgavaL
  • 11 OctRīgas FS4 – 2FS JelgavaL
  • 19 SeptFS Jelgava0 – 1RigaL
  • 12 SeptGrobiņa0 – 0FS JelgavaD
  • 5 SeptFS Jelgava0 – 1Super NovaL
  • 29 AugTukums1 – 4FS JelgavaW
  • 22 AugOgre United2 – 3FS JelgavaW
  • 9 AugFS Jelgava0 – 1AudaL
Ogre United1W 2D 7L in last 10
  • 1 NovOgre United0 – 0RigaD
  • 25 OctOgre United1 – 4AudaL
  • 17 OctGrobiņa3 – 2Ogre UnitedL
  • 11 OctOgre United1 – 2BFC DaugavpilsL
  • 20 SeptOgre United1 – 0Super NovaW
  • 16 SeptAuda1 – 0Ogre UnitedL
  • 11 SeptOgre United2 – 2FK LiepajaD
  • 5 SeptTukums2 – 1Ogre UnitedL
  • 30 AugOgre United0 – 3Rīgas FSL
  • 22 AugOgre United2 – 3FS JelgavaL
H2H
Head to headFS Jelgava 2W · 0D · Ogre United 1W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 22 AugOgre United2 – 3FS Jelgava
  • 17 JunFS Jelgava0 – 2Ogre United
  • 27 AprOgre United0 – 1FS Jelgava

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.011.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.6% · 1.144.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.5% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X37.5%
1237.5%
X225%

Match result

FS Jelgava1.8
Draw3.7
Ogre United3.5

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance37.5%
Odds1.22

12

Chance37.5%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance25%
Odds1.83

FS Jelgava

Chance50%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds3.7

Ogre United

Chance25.7%
Odds3.5

First half result

FS Jelgava39.5% · 2.3
Draw36.3% · 2.5
Ogre United24.2% · 3.75

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.25

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 3.5 at 2.20

FS JelgavaOgre United
Recent form58%42%
Attack55%45%
Defence55%45%
Goals model55%45%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall66%34%

Trends

Trend · Virsliga

FS Jelgava scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Virsliga

FS Jelgava conceded 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Failed to score in 6 of those 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

FS Jelgava vs Ogre United: prediction & preview

Latvia · Virsliga · Sun, 8 Nov 2026

FS Jelgava meet Ogre United in the Latvia, Virsliga on 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FS Jelgava at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FS Jelgava vs Ogre United FAQs

4 questions

What time is the FS Jelgava vs Ogre United match?

Kickoff is 12:00 on 8 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?

FS Jelgava is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 50%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.