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Gubbio vs Perugia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie C - Girone BSat, 3 Oct 2026

Gubbio

19th in table · 8 pts

LLLDD

Sat, 3 Oct 202613:30

1 : 3

Full time

Perugia

8th in table · 17 pts

WLWLD

Pre-match win probability

28.8%Gubbio28.8%Draw42.5%Perugia

Our prediction

X · Gubbio

Gubbio vs Perugia listed tip from the board.

Odds3.1
Confidence42.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Gubbio 28.8%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Perugia 42.5%

Season statistics

Serie C - Girone B · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GubbioPerugia
Goals scored (avg)
0.41.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.7
Wins
25
Played
1212

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Gubbio1W 3D 5L in last 9
  • 1 NovGubbio0 – 0Vis PesaroD
  • 27 OctTeam Altamura0 – 0GubbioD
  • 23 OctPineto1 – 0GubbioL
  • 18 OctGubbio0 – 2Atalanta IIL
  • 10 OctSpezia2 – 0GubbioL
  • 27 SeptRavenna2 – 0GubbioL
  • 20 SeptGubbio0 – 2Ostia MareL
  • 16 SeptPescara1 – 1GubbioD
  • 12 SeptGubbio3 – 1LatinaW
Perugia3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctGuidonia Montecelio 19371 – 1PerugiaD
  • 23 OctPerugia1 – 2PescaraL
  • 18 OctCampobasso FC1 – 5PerugiaW
  • 11 OctPerugia0 – 2VadoL
  • 27 SeptPerugia1 – 0ReggianaW
  • 20 SeptGrosseto2 – 0PerugiaL
  • 16 SeptPerugia0 – 3SpeziaL
  • 13 SeptRavenna3 – 0PerugiaL
  • 6 SeptPerugia2 – 1PinetoW
H2H
Head to headGubbio 3W · 3D · Perugia 3W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 18 JanPerugia0 – 1Gubbio
  • 6 SeptGubbio1 – 1Perugia
  • 20 JanGubbio1 – 0Perugia
  • 15 SeptPerugia1 – 1Gubbio
  • 17 MarGubbio0 – 1Perugia
  • 12 NovPerugia1 – 0Gubbio
  • 17 MarGubbio3 – 2Perugia
  • 21 NovPerugia0 – 0Gubbio
  • 6 AugPerugia2 – 1Gubbio

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.2% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X45.3%
X254.7%

Match result

Gubbio3.1
Draw3.1
Perugia2.1

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance45.3%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance54.7%
Odds1.3

Gubbio

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

Perugia

Chance42.5%
Odds2.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.1

GubbioPerugia
Recent form38%62%
Attack27%73%
Defence58%42%
Goals model27%73%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall40%60%

Trends

Trend · Serie C - Girone B

Gubbio scored 0.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie C - Girone B

Gubbio conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie C - Girone B

Failed to score in 7 of those 9.

Trend · Serie C - Girone B

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Gubbio vs Perugia: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie C - Girone B · Sat, 3 Oct 2026

Gubbio meet Perugia in the Italy, Serie C - Girone B on 3 October 2026 at 13:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Perugia at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Gubbio vs Perugia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Gubbio vs Perugia match?

Kickoff is 13:30 on 3 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Gubbio vs Perugia?

Perugia is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.