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HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Croatia · HNLSun, 16 Aug 2026

HNK Gorica

DLDDL

Sun, 16 Aug 202620:00

1 : 2

Full time

HNK Hajduk Split

WWWDW

Pre-match win probability

21.2%HNK Gorica24.8%Draw54%HNK Hajduk Split

Our prediction

2 · HNK Gorica

HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence54%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • HNK Gorica 21.2%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • HNK Hajduk Split 54%

Season statistics

HNL · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

HNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
Goals scored (avg)
1.22
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.60.7

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

HNK Gorica2W 5D 3L in last 10
  • 31 OctHNK Hajduk Split5 – 0HNK GoricaL
  • 24 OctHNK Gorica0 – 0NK Lokomotiva ZagrebD
  • 17 OctNK Osijek1 – 1HNK GoricaD
  • 9 OctHNK Gorica1 – 2RudesL
  • 2 OctHNK Gorica3 – 3BravoD
  • 28 SeptMaribor1 – 1HNK GoricaD
  • 19 SeptIstra 19610 – 1HNK GoricaW
  • 14 SeptHNK Gorica2 – 2NK VarazdinD
  • 9 SeptUskok Klis1 – 3HNK GoricaW
  • 5 SeptDinamo Zagreb1 – 0HNK GoricaL
HNK Hajduk Split8W 1D 1L in last 10
  • 31 OctHNK Hajduk Split5 – 0HNK GoricaW
  • 26 OctIstra 19612 – 2HNK Hajduk SplitD
  • 22 OctFC Thun0 – 1HNK Hajduk SplitW
  • 18 OctHNK Hajduk Split1 – 0NK VarazdinW
  • 15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 – 1AjaxW
  • 10 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 – 1Dinamo ZagrebW
  • 20 SeptHNK Rijeka3 – 0HNK Hajduk SplitL
  • 13 SeptHNK Hajduk Split1 – 0NK Slaven BelupoW
  • 8 SeptVardarac0 – 2HNK Hajduk SplitW
  • 6 SeptRudes0 – 4HNK Hajduk SplitW
H2H
Head to headHNK Gorica 2W · 1D · HNK Hajduk Split 6W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 31 OctHNK Hajduk Split5 – 0HNK Gorica
  • 12 AprHNK Hajduk Split1 – 0HNK Gorica
  • 31 JanHNK Gorica1 – 0HNK Hajduk Split
  • 24 OctHNK Gorica1 – 3HNK Hajduk Split
  • 10 AugHNK Hajduk Split2 – 0HNK Gorica
  • 11 MayHNK Gorica1 – 1HNK Hajduk Split
  • 9 MarHNK Hajduk Split2 – 1HNK Gorica
  • 7 DecHNK Gorica1 – 0HNK Hajduk Split
  • 21 SeptHNK Hajduk Split4 – 1HNK Gorica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X36.9%
X263.1%

Match result

HNK Gorica4.33
Draw3.7
HNK Hajduk Split1.7

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance36.9%
Odds2.05

X2

Chance63.1%
Odds1.2

HNK Gorica

Chance21.2%
Odds4.33

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.7

HNK Hajduk Split

Chance54%
Odds1.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 1.7

HNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
Recent form31%69%
Attack37%63%
Defence38%62%
Goals model37%63%
Head-to-head28%72%
Overall28%72%

Trends

Trend · HNL

HNK Gorica scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · HNL

HNK Gorica conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · HNL

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · HNL

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split: prediction & preview

Croatia · HNL · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

HNK Gorica meet HNK Hajduk Split in the Croatia, HNL on 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is HNK Hajduk Split at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split FAQs

4 questions

What time is the HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?

HNK Hajduk Split is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 54%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.