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NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Croatia · HNLSun, 16 Aug 2026

NK Varazdin

3rd in table · 18 pts

DWLLD

Sun, 16 Aug 202617:30

2 : 0

Full time

HNK Rijeka

5th in table · 17 pts

LLWWL

Pre-match win probability

30.6%NK Varazdin29.6%Draw39.9%HNK Rijeka

Our prediction

X · NK Varazdin

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka listed tip from the board.

Odds3.1
Confidence39.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • NK Varazdin 30.6%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • HNK Rijeka 39.9%

Season statistics

HNL · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
Goals scored (avg)
1.12.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61.1
Wins
55
Played
1110

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

NK Varazdin3W 5D 2L in last 10
  • 28 OctNK Varazdin1 – 1NK Lokomotiva ZagrebD
  • 24 OctNK Varazdin1 – 2NK Slaven BelupoL
  • 18 OctHNK Hajduk Split1 – 0NK VarazdinL
  • 11 OctNK Lokomotiva Zagreb0 – 1NK VarazdinW
  • 2 OctAluminij0 – 0NK VarazdinD
  • 19 SeptNK Varazdin0 – 0NK OsijekD
  • 14 SeptHNK Gorica2 – 2NK VarazdinD
  • 9 SeptZagora0 – 4NK VarazdinW
  • 4 SeptNK Varazdin0 – 0Istra 1961D
  • 29 AugNK Varazdin2 – 0RudesW
HNK Rijeka5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 27 OctDinamo Zagreb2 – 1HNK RijekaL
  • 20 OctKarlovac 19191 – 4HNK RijekaW
  • 16 OctRudes1 – 2HNK RijekaW
  • 11 OctNK Slaven Belupo4 – 1HNK RijekaL
  • 26 SeptHNK Rijeka0 – 1Union BerlinL
  • 20 SeptHNK Rijeka3 – 0HNK Hajduk SplitW
  • 16 SeptVrbovec0 – 6HNK RijekaW
  • 12 SeptNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1 – 1HNK RijekaD
  • 5 SeptHNK Rijeka4 – 1NK OsijekW
  • 31 AugHNK Gorica0 – 0HNK RijekaD
H2H
Head to headNK Varazdin 5W · 2D · HNK Rijeka 2W · 1.9 goals a game
  • 22 AprNK Varazdin1 – 0HNK Rijeka
  • 14 FebHNK Rijeka3 – 1NK Varazdin
  • 9 NovNK Varazdin1 – 0HNK Rijeka
  • 24 AugHNK Rijeka1 – 2NK Varazdin
  • 13 AprHNK Rijeka1 – 0NK Varazdin
  • 1 FebNK Varazdin1 – 0HNK Rijeka
  • 26 OctHNK Rijeka1 – 1NK Varazdin
  • 11 AugNK Varazdin0 – 0HNK Rijeka
  • 11 MayNK Varazdin3 – 1HNK Rijeka

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X46.4%
X253.6%

Match result

NK Varazdin3
Draw3.1
HNK Rijeka2.3

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

NK Varazdin

Chance30.6%
Odds3

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3.1

HNK Rijeka

Chance39.9%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.1

NK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
Recent form45%55%
Attack33%67%
Defence56%44%
Goals model33%67%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall43%57%

Trends

Trend · HNL

NK Varazdin scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · HNL

NK Varazdin conceded 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · HNL

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · HNL

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka: prediction & preview

Croatia · HNL · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

NK Varazdin meet HNK Rijeka in the Croatia, HNL on 16 August 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is HNK Rijeka at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka FAQs

4 questions

What time is the NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka match?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?

HNK Rijeka is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.