Get Premium

Indy Eleven vs Louisville City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 23 Aug 2026

Indy Eleven

LDLLL

Sun, 23 Aug 202600:00

2 : 1

Full time

Louisville City

WWWDW

Pre-match win probability

26.8%Indy Eleven25.3%Draw47.9%Louisville City

Our prediction

Louisville City

Louisville City is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.9
Confidence47.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Indy Eleven 26.8%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Louisville City 47.9%

Season statistics

USL Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Indy ElevenLouisville City
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.70.6

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Indy Eleven1W 3D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctCharleston Battery1 – 0Indy ElevenL
  • 18 OctLouisville City4 – 1Indy ElevenL
  • 11 OctIndy Eleven1 – 3Tampa Bay RowdiesL
  • 3 OctLoudoun United1 – 1Indy ElevenD
  • 1 OctRhode Island1 – 0Indy ElevenL
  • 27 SeptIndy Eleven0 – 2Miami FCL
  • 20 SeptIndy Eleven0 – 1Oakland RootsL
  • 16 SeptIndy Eleven4 – 0BrooklynW
  • 12 SeptNew Mexico United2 – 2Indy ElevenD
  • 6 SeptIndy Eleven2 – 2Birmingham LegionD
Louisville City6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 30 OctLouisville City1 – 0Pittsburgh RiverhoundsW
  • 25 OctLouisville City0 – 0Detroit CityD
  • 22 OctSporting JAX0 – 2Louisville CityW
  • 18 OctLouisville City4 – 1Indy ElevenW
  • 10 OctCharleston Battery0 – 2Louisville CityW
  • 4 OctHartford Athletic0 – 1Louisville CityW
  • 26 SeptHartford Athletic2 – 2Louisville CityD
  • 20 SeptLouisville City2 – 1Loudoun UnitedW
  • 13 SeptLouisville City1 – 2El Paso LocomotiveL
  • 9 SeptSan Antonio0 – 0Louisville CityD
H2H
Head to headIndy Eleven 1W · 2D · Louisville City 6W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 18 OctLouisville City4 – 1Indy Eleven
  • 5 OctLouisville City2 – 0Indy Eleven
  • 31 AugIndy Eleven1 – 3Louisville City
  • 6 OctIndy Eleven2 – 2Louisville City
  • 6 AprLouisville City5 – 3Indy Eleven
  • 30 JulLouisville City2 – 0Indy Eleven
  • 28 MayIndy Eleven0 – 1Louisville City
  • 1 SeptIndy Eleven2 – 1Louisville City
  • 26 MarLouisville City1 – 1Indy Eleven

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14% · 1.6710.9% · 2.15
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X41%
X259%

Match result

Indy Eleven3.4
Draw3.6
Louisville City1.9

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance41%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance59%
Odds1.25

Indy Eleven

Chance26.8%
Odds3.4

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.6

Louisville City

Chance47.9%
Odds1.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Louisville City at 1.9

Indy ElevenLouisville City
Recent form22%78%
Attack42%58%
Defence35%65%
Goals model42%58%
Head-to-head22%78%
Overall36%64%

Trends

Trend · USL Championship

Indy Eleven scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Indy Eleven conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Indy Eleven vs Louisville City: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

Indy Eleven meet Louisville City in the USA, USL Championship on 23 August 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Louisville City at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Indy Eleven vs Louisville City FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Indy Eleven vs Louisville City match?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Indy Eleven vs Louisville City?

Louisville City is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.