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Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 23 Aug 2026

Lexington

4th in table · 48 pts

WWDWD

Sun, 23 Aug 202600:00

2 : 0

Full time

Las Vegas Lights

11th in table · 36 pts

LWLLL

Pre-match win probability

54.4%Lexington23.9%Draw21.6%Las Vegas Lights

Our prediction

X2 · Lexington

Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights listed tip from the board.

Odds2
Confidence54.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lexington 54.4%
  • Draw 23.9%
  • Las Vegas Lights 21.6%

Season statistics

USL Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LexingtonLas Vegas Lights
Goals scored (avg)
2.71.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.62
Wins
1410
Played
3030

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lexington5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctPhoenix Rising3 – 3LexingtonD
  • 18 OctLas Vegas Lights3 – 5LexingtonW
  • 10 OctLexington0 – 0FC TulsaD
  • 4 OctLexington3 – 1El Paso LocomotiveW
  • 27 SeptMonterey Bay2 – 3LexingtonW
  • 20 SeptLexington6 – 0Orange County SCW
  • 13 SeptOakland Roots1 – 4LexingtonW
  • 6 SeptSporting JAX3 – 2LexingtonL
  • 30 AugLexington0 – 1Colorado SpringsL
  • 27 AugNew Mexico United2 – 1LexingtonL
Las Vegas Lights2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 25 OctMonterey Bay2 – 1Las Vegas LightsL
  • 18 OctLas Vegas Lights3 – 5LexingtonL
  • 11 OctPhoenix Rising3 – 2Las Vegas LightsL
  • 4 OctLas Vegas Lights1 – 0San AntonioW
  • 1 OctSacramento Republic3 – 2Las Vegas LightsL
  • 20 SeptLas Vegas Lights1 – 1Hartford AthleticD
  • 13 SeptOrange County SC0 – 2Las Vegas LightsW
  • 6 SeptLas Vegas Lights1 – 2New Mexico UnitedL
  • 30 AugLas Vegas Lights0 – 2Charleston BatteryL
H2H
Head to headLexington 1W · 1D · Las Vegas Lights 2W · 3 goals a game
  • 18 OctLas Vegas Lights3 – 5Lexington
  • 3 MayLas Vegas Lights2 – 1Lexington
  • 31 AugLas Vegas Lights1 – 0Lexington
  • 13 AprLexington0 – 0Las Vegas Lights

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7311.2% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X63.1%
X236.9%

Match result

Lexington1.67
Draw3.8
Las Vegas Lights4.2

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance63.1%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance36.9%
Odds2

Lexington

Chance54.4%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance23.9%
Odds3.8

Las Vegas Lights

Chance21.6%
Odds4.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 2

LexingtonLas Vegas Lights
Recent form71%29%
Attack66%34%
Defence58%42%
Goals model66%34%
Head-to-head38%62%
Overall72%28%

Trends

Trend · USL Championship

Lexington scored 2.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Lexington conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

Lexington meet Las Vegas Lights in the USA, USL Championship on 23 August 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lexington at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights match?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights?

Lexington is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.