Get Premium

Japan vs Venezuela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesMon, 28 Sept 2026

Japan

DLWDW

Mon, 28 Sept 202611:25

2 : 1

Full time

Venezuela

Pre-match win probability

76.3%Japan16.6%Draw7%Venezuela

Our prediction

Japan

Japan is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.2
Confidence76.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Japan 76.3%
  • Draw 16.6%
  • Venezuela 7%

Season statistics

Friendlies · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

JapanVenezuela
Goals scored (avg)
1.7–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.8–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Japan5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 5 OctJapan2 – 1New ZealandW
  • 1 OctJapan0 – 0EcuadorD
  • 24 SeptJapan3 – 1UruguayW
  • 29 JunBrazil2 – 1JapanL
  • 26 JunJapan1 – 1SwedenD
  • 21 JunTunisia0 – 4JapanW
  • 14 JunNetherlands2 – 2JapanD
  • 31 MayJapan1 – 0IcelandW
  • 31 MarEngland0 – 1JapanW
Venezuela0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headJapan 0W · 1D · Venezuela 1W · 3.5 goals a game
    • 19 NovJapan1 – 4Venezuela
    • 16 NovJapan1 – 1Venezuela

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
    1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
    2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7311.3% · 2.08
    3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes41.1%
    No58.9%

    Double chance

    1X79.2%
    X220.8%

    Match result

    Japan1.2
    Draw5.5
    Venezuela13

    Both teams to score

    Yes41.1% · 2.25
    No58.9% · 1.57

    1X

    Chance79.2%
    Odds1.05

    X2

    Chance20.8%
    Odds4

    Japan

    Chance76.3%
    Odds1.2

    Draw

    Chance16.6%
    Odds5.5

    Venezuela

    Chance7%
    Odds13

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Japan at 1.2

    JapanVenezuela
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack63%37%
    Defence69%31%
    Goals model63%37%
    Head-to-head25%75%
    Overall92%8%

    Trends

    Trend · Friendlies

    Japan scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Friendlies

    Japan conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Friendlies

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Friendlies

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

    Japan vs Venezuela: prediction & preview

    World · Friendlies · Mon, 28 Sept 2026

    Japan meet Venezuela in the World, Friendlies on 28 September 2026 at 11:25 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Japan at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 76.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Japan vs Venezuela FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Japan vs Venezuela match?

    Kickoff is 11:25 on 28 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Japan vs Venezuela?

    Japan is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 76.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    Japan vs Venezuela prediction, H2H and stats