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South Korea vs Uruguay Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesMon, 28 Sept 2026

South Korea

WLLWW

Mon, 28 Sept 202612:00

1 : 4

Full time

Uruguay

DDLLW

Pre-match win probability

36.1%South Korea29.1%Draw34.7%Uruguay

Our prediction

1X · South Korea

South Korea vs Uruguay listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence36.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • South Korea 36.1%
  • Draw 29.1%
  • Uruguay 34.7%

Season statistics

Friendlies · highlighted side is stronger

South KoreaUruguay
Goals scored (avg)
–1.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.6

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

South Korea0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Uruguay1W 5D 3L in last 9
    • 6 OctIndia1 – 6UruguayW
    • 24 SeptJapan3 – 1UruguayL
    • 27 JunUruguay0 – 1SpainL
    • 21 JunUruguay2 – 2Cape Verde IslandsD
    • 15 JunSaudi Arabia1 – 1UruguayD
    • 31 MarAlgeria0 – 0UruguayD
    • 27 MarEngland1 – 1UruguayD
    • 19 NovUSA5 – 1UruguayL
    • 16 NovMexico0 – 0UruguayD
    H2H
    Head to headSouth Korea 1W · 1D · Uruguay 2W · 2.3 goals a game
    • 28 MarSouth Korea1 – 2Uruguay
    • 24 NovUruguay0 – 0South Korea
    • 12 OctSouth Korea2 – 1Uruguay
    • 26 JunUruguay2 – 1South Korea

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.7% · 1.082.9% · 8
    1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
    2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
    3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5%
    No51.5%

    Double chance

    1X51.7%
    X248.3%

    Match result

    South Korea2.5
    Draw3.1
    Uruguay2.6

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5% · 1.91
    No51.5% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance51.7%
    Odds1.4

    X2

    Chance48.3%
    Odds1.5

    South Korea

    Chance36.1%
    Odds2.5

    Draw

    Chance29.1%
    Odds3.1

    Uruguay

    Chance34.7%
    Odds2.6

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 1.4

    South KoreaUruguay
    Recent form11%89%
    Attack43%57%
    Defence42%58%
    Goals model43%57%
    Head-to-head38%62%
    Overall51%49%

    Trends

    Trend · Friendlies

    Uruguay scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Friendlies

    Uruguay conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Friendlies

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Friendlies

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    South Korea vs Uruguay: prediction & preview

    World · Friendlies · Mon, 28 Sept 2026

    South Korea meet Uruguay in the World, Friendlies on 28 September 2026 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is South Korea at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    South Korea vs Uruguay FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the South Korea vs Uruguay match?

    Kickoff is 12:00 on 28 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for South Korea vs Uruguay?

    South Korea is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.1%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.