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Lanus vs Independiente Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Liga Profesional ArgentinaMon, 17 Aug 2026

Lanus

6th in table · 24 pts

WDWWD

Mon, 17 Aug 202621:00

1 : 3

Full time

Independiente

5th in table · 24 pts

WLDDL

Pre-match win probability

46.4%Lanus31.7%Draw22%Independiente

Our prediction

X2 · Lanus

Lanus vs Independiente listed tip from the board.

Odds1.73
Confidence46.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lanus 46.4%
  • Draw 31.7%
  • Independiente 22%

Season statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LanusIndependiente
Goals scored (avg)
1.20.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.41.2
Wins
66
Played
1616

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lanus5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 24 OctBanfield1 – 1LanusD
  • 17 OctPlatense0 – 1LanusW
  • 12 OctLanus2 – 0Velez SarsfieldW
  • 3 OctNewells Old Boys0 – 0LanusD
  • 22 SeptLanus2 – 1Estudiantes L.P.W
  • 14 SeptDeportivo Riestra0 – 3LanusW
  • 6 SeptLanus1 – 0Defensa Y JusticiaW
  • 29 AugBoca Juniors1 – 0LanusL
  • 25 AugLanus1 – 1Argentinos JRSD
Independiente2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 25 OctIndependiente0 – 1Boca JuniorsL
  • 18 OctRacing Club1 – 1IndependienteD
  • 12 OctTalleres Cordoba0 – 0IndependienteD
  • 2 OctIndependiente1 – 4Instituto CordobaL
  • 19 SeptUnion Santa Fe1 – 2IndependienteW
  • 13 SeptIndependiente1 – 1San LorenzoD
  • 6 SeptCentral Cordoba de Santiago0 – 1IndependienteW
  • 30 AugIndependiente0 – 3Gimnasia M.L
  • 22 AugIndependiente0 – 0Independ. RivadaviaD
H2H
Head to headLanus 4W · 3D · Independiente 2W · 1.7 goals a game
  • 14 FebIndependiente2 – 0Lanus
  • 13 OctIndependiente0 – 2Lanus
  • 6 AprLanus1 – 1Independiente
  • 18 OctLanus0 – 2Independiente
  • 28 MayIndependiente1 – 1Lanus
  • 13 AugLanus1 – 1Independiente
  • 1 MayLanus1 – 0Independiente
  • 13 SeptIndependiente0 – 1Lanus
  • 16 FebIndependiente0 – 1Lanus

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.6% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
1.5 goals14.9% · 1.5710.4% · 2.25
2.5 goals8.1% · 2.8816.8% · 1.4
3.5 goals3.9% · 621% · 1.12

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Lanus2.05
Draw3
Independiente4.33

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.73

Lanus

Chance46.4%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance31.7%
Odds3

Independiente

Chance22%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.73

LanusIndependiente
Recent form64%36%
Attack63%37%
Defence59%41%
Goals model63%37%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall68%32%

Trends

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Lanus scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Lanus conceded 0.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

Lanus vs Independiente: prediction & preview

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Mon, 17 Aug 2026

Lanus meet Independiente in the Argentina, Liga Profesional Argentina on 17 August 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lanus at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lanus vs Independiente FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lanus vs Independiente match?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 17 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lanus vs Independiente?

Lanus is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.88 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lanus vs Independiente prediction, H2H and stats