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Velez Sarsfield vs Defensa Y Justicia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Liga Profesional ArgentinaMon, 17 Aug 2026

Velez Sarsfield

3rd in table · 28 pts

DLWWD

Mon, 17 Aug 202623:15

1 : 0

Live

Defensa Y Justicia

10th in table · 19 pts

DWWLW

Pre-match win probability

51.6%Velez Sarsfield29.4%Draw19.1%Defensa Y Justicia

Our prediction

1X · Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield vs Defensa Y Justicia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence51.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Velez Sarsfield 51.6%
  • Draw 29.4%
  • Defensa Y Justicia 19.1%

Season statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Velez SarsfieldDefensa Y Justicia
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
10.7
Wins
74
Played
1616

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Velez Sarsfield4W 5D 1L in last 10
  • 31 OctVelez Sarsfield2 – 2San LorenzoD
  • 26 OctCentral Cordoba de Santiago0 – 5Velez SarsfieldW
  • 18 OctVelez Sarsfield1 – 0Gimnasia M.W
  • 12 OctLanus2 – 0Velez SarsfieldL
  • 5 OctVelez Sarsfield2 – 2PlatenseD
  • 21 SeptVelez Sarsfield3 – 2TigreW
  • 11 SeptNewells Old Boys1 – 1Velez SarsfieldD
  • 6 SeptVelez Sarsfield1 – 0Estudiantes L.P.W
  • 3 SeptVelez Sarsfield0 – 0Boca JuniorsD
  • 29 AugDeportivo Riestra1 – 1Velez SarsfieldD
Defensa Y Justicia6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 24 OctTalleres Cordoba1 – 2Defensa Y JusticiaW
  • 16 OctDefensa Y Justicia0 – 1Instituto CordobaL
  • 10 OctUnion Santa Fe0 – 2Defensa Y JusticiaW
  • 3 OctDefensa Y Justicia3 – 0San LorenzoW
  • 18 SeptCentral Cordoba de Santiago2 – 2Defensa Y JusticiaD
  • 11 SeptDefensa Y Justicia2 – 0Gimnasia M.W
  • 6 SeptLanus1 – 0Defensa Y JusticiaL
  • 31 AugDefensa Y Justicia1 – 0PlatenseW
  • 23 AugBelgrano Cordoba1 – 2Defensa Y JusticiaW
H2H
Head to headVelez Sarsfield 2W · 5D · Defensa Y Justicia 2W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 14 FebDefensa Y Justicia1 – 1Velez Sarsfield
  • 3 AugVelez Sarsfield3 – 0Defensa Y Justicia
  • 31 MarDefensa Y Justicia0 – 0Velez Sarsfield
  • 25 JunDefensa Y Justicia1 – 1Velez Sarsfield
  • 28 JulVelez Sarsfield0 – 0Defensa Y Justicia
  • 28 MarDefensa Y Justicia1 – 1Velez Sarsfield
  • 29 SeptVelez Sarsfield0 – 1Defensa Y Justicia
  • 5 NovDefensa Y Justicia3 – 2Velez Sarsfield
  • 27 JanDefensa Y Justicia0 – 1Velez Sarsfield

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X64.8%
X235.2%

Match result

Velez Sarsfield1.85
Draw3.25
Defensa Y Justicia5

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance64.8%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance35.2%
Odds2.1

Velez Sarsfield

Chance51.6%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance29.4%
Odds3.25

Defensa Y Justicia

Chance19.1%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.14

Velez SarsfieldDefensa Y Justicia
Recent form47%53%
Attack50%50%
Defence47%53%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall73%27%

Trends

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Velez Sarsfield vs Defensa Y Justicia: prediction & preview

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Mon, 17 Aug 2026

Velez Sarsfield meet Defensa Y Justicia in the Argentina, Liga Profesional Argentina on 17 August 2026 at 23:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Velez Sarsfield at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Velez Sarsfield vs Defensa Y Justicia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Velez Sarsfield vs Defensa Y Justicia match?

Kickoff is 23:15 on 17 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Velez Sarsfield vs Defensa Y Justicia?

Velez Sarsfield is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.