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Mali vs Rwanda Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationWed, 11 Nov 2026

Mali

2nd in table · 6 pts

DLWWD

Wed, 11 Nov 202618:00

vs

Not started

Rwanda

1st in table · 6 pts

WWWWD

Pre-match win probability

77.1%Mali17.3%Draw5.6%Rwanda

Our prediction

1 · Mali

Mali vs Rwanda listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence85.5%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mali 77.1%
  • Draw 17.3%
  • Rwanda 5.6%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MaliRwanda
Goals scored (avg)
0.81.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.80.8
Wins
22
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mali2W 4D 2L in last 8
  • 4 OctMorocco1 – 1MaliD
  • 29 SeptLiberia0 – 1MaliW
  • 25 SeptMali3 – 1Cape Verde IslandsW
  • 4 JunIran2 – 0MaliL
  • 31 MarRussia0 – 0MaliD
  • 9 JanMali0 – 1SenegalL
  • 3 JanMali1 – 1TunisiaD
  • 29 DecComoros0 – 0MaliD
Rwanda5W 1D 2L in last 8
  • 5 OctRwanda0 – 0KenyaD
  • 29 SeptCape Verde Islands1 – 2RwandaW
  • 25 SeptRwanda3 – 1LiberiaW
  • 30 MarRwanda2 – 0EstoniaW
  • 27 MarRwanda4 – 0GrenadaW
  • 14 OctSouth Africa3 – 0RwandaL
  • 10 OctRwanda0 – 1BeninL
  • 9 SeptZimbabwe0 – 1RwandaW
H2H
Head to headMali 2W · 0D · Rwanda 0W · 2 goals a game
  • 11 NovRwanda0 – 3Mali
  • 1 SeptMali1 – 0Rwanda

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
1.5 goals23.8% · 1.289.6% · 3.18
2.5 goals15.2% · 2.0118.1% · 1.68
3.5 goals8% · 3.8225.4% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes30%
No70%

Double chance

1278.3%
X221.7%

Match result

Mali1.17
Draw5.23
Rwanda16

Both teams to score

Yes30% · 3.06
No70% · 1.31

12

Chance78.3%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance21.7%
Odds3.85

Mali

Chance77.1%
Odds1.17

Draw

Chance17.3%
Odds5.23

Rwanda

Chance5.6%
Odds16

First half result

Mali55.9% · 1.61
Draw37.2% · 2.42
Rwanda6.9% · 13

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.31

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.17

MaliRwanda
Recent form38%62%
Attack35%65%
Defence50%50%
Goals model35%65%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall93%7%

Trends

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Mali scored 0.8 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Mali conceded 0.8 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Failed to score in 4 of those 8.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 8.

Mali vs Rwanda: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Wed, 11 Nov 2026

Mali meet Rwanda in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 11 November 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mali at 1.17. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.68, about 54.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.31.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mali vs Rwanda FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Mali vs Rwanda match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 11 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Mali vs Rwanda?

Mali is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.17. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.01 and under 2.5 is 1.68.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 3.06. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.