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Maribor vs Aluminij Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Slovenia · 1. SNLSat, 19 Sept 2026

Maribor

2nd in table · 24 pts

WDWWD

Sat, 19 Sept 202619:15

2 : 2

Full time

Aluminij

6th in table · 17 pts

LLLDW

Pre-match win probability

65%Maribor21%Draw14%Aluminij

Our prediction

1X · Maribor

Maribor vs Aluminij listed tip from the board.

Odds1.07
Confidence65%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Maribor 65%
  • Draw 21%
  • Aluminij 14%

Season statistics

1. SNL · highlighted side is stronger

MariborAluminij
Goals scored (avg)
–1.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1
Wins
64
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Maribor0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Aluminij2W 3D 4L in last 9
    • 31 OctAluminij5 – 0RadomljeW
    • 28 OctNafta0 – 0AluminijD
    • 23 OctBrežice4 – 2AluminijL
    • 16 OctAluminij0 – 1Olimpija LjubljanaL
    • 10 OctCelje1 – 0AluminijL
    • 2 OctAluminij0 – 0NK VarazdinD
    • 13 SeptMura1 – 6AluminijW
    • 5 SeptAluminij0 – 0BravoD
    • 2 SeptAluminij0 – 2CeljeL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.3% · 10
    1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
    2.5 goals14.5% · 1.6210.4% · 2.25
    3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.6% · 1.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5%
    No51.5%

    Double chance

    1X70.8%
    X229.2%

    Match result

    Maribor1.4
    Draw4.33
    Aluminij6.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5% · 1.91
    No51.5% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance70.8%
    Odds1.07

    X2

    Chance29.2%
    Odds2.6

    Maribor

    Chance65%
    Odds1.4

    Draw

    Chance21%
    Odds4.33

    Aluminij

    Chance14%
    Odds6.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 1.07

    MariborAluminij
    Recent form10%90%
    Attack42%58%
    Defence33%67%
    Goals model42%58%
    Overall82%18%

    Trends

    Trend · 1. SNL

    Aluminij scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · 1. SNL

    Aluminij conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · 1. SNL

    Failed to score in 6 of those 9.

    Trend · 1. SNL

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

    Maribor vs Aluminij: prediction & preview

    Slovenia · 1. SNL · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

    Maribor meet Aluminij in the Slovenia, 1. SNL on 19 September 2026 at 19:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Maribor at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Maribor vs Aluminij FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Maribor vs Aluminij match?

    Kickoff is 19:15 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Maribor vs Aluminij?

    Maribor is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 65%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.