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Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSat, 24 Oct 2026

Melbourne Victory

DWLLD

Sat, 24 Oct 202609:40

1 : 1

Full time

Melbourne City

LWLLW

Pre-match win probability

39.8%Melbourne Victory26.3%Draw33.8%Melbourne City

Our prediction

1X · Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence39.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melbourne Victory 39.8%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Melbourne City 33.8%

Season statistics

A-League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Melbourne VictoryMelbourne City
Goals scored (avg)
1.2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.9–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Melbourne Victory3W 4D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovMelbourne Victory1 – 1Central Coast MarinersD
  • 28 OctPersib Bandung2 – 0Melbourne VictoryL
  • 18 OctWellington Phoenix2 – 1Melbourne VictoryL
  • 14 OctMelbourne Victory3 – 0FC SeoulW
  • 10 OctSouth Melbourne1 – 1Melbourne VictoryD
  • 16 SeptViettel1 – 1Melbourne VictoryD
  • 9 SeptSydney0 – 2Melbourne VictoryW
  • 19 AugAPIA Leichhardt Tigers0 – 1Melbourne VictoryW
  • 8 AugWestern Sydney Wanderers1 – 1Melbourne VictoryD
Melbourne City0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.6% · 1.042% · 12
    1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
    2.5 goals13.4% · 1.7511.7% · 2
    3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6%
    No42.4%

    Double chance

    1X50%
    X250%

    Match result

    Melbourne Victory2.38
    Draw3.6
    Melbourne City2.8

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6% · 1.62
    No42.4% · 2.2

    1X

    Chance50%
    Odds1.5

    X2

    Chance50%
    Odds1.5

    Melbourne Victory

    Chance39.8%
    Odds2.38

    Draw

    Chance26.3%
    Odds3.6

    Melbourne City

    Chance33.8%
    Odds2.8

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 1.5

    Melbourne VictoryMelbourne City
    Recent form93%7%
    Attack55%45%
    Defence68%32%
    Goals model55%45%
    Overall54%46%

    Trends

    Trend · A-League

    Melbourne Victory scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · A-League

    Melbourne Victory conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · A-League

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · A-League

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City: prediction & preview

    Australia · A-League · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

    Melbourne Victory meet Melbourne City in the Australia, A-League on 24 October 2026 at 09:40 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne Victory at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City match?

    Kickoff is 09:40 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City?

    Melbourne Victory is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.