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Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera ASat, 14 Nov 2026

Millonarios

10th in table · 26 pts

DWDDL

Sat, 14 Nov 202621:30

2 : 0

Full time

Alianza Valledupar

17th in table · 17 pts

WWLLL

Pre-match win probability

70.7%Millonarios19.1%Draw10.2%Alianza Valledupar

Our prediction

X · Millonarios

Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar listed tip from the board.

Odds4.80
Confidence20.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Millonarios 70.7%
  • Draw 19.1%
  • Alianza Valledupar 10.2%

Season statistics

Primera A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MillonariosAlianza Valledupar
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.6
Wins
73
Played
1919

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Millonarios3W 6D 1L in last 10
  • 9 NovDeportes Tolima2 – 1MillonariosL
  • 5 NovMillonarios0 – 0America de CaliD
  • 21 OctMillonarios1 – 1Once CaldasD
  • 18 OctMillonarios4 – 1JaguaresW
  • 9 OctFortaleza FC1 – 1MillonariosD
  • 4 OctBarranquilla1 – 1MillonariosD
  • 30 SeptIndependiente Medellin2 – 2MillonariosD
  • 25 SeptAtletico Nacional1 – 1MillonariosD
  • 19 SeptMillonarios3 – 0ChicoW
  • 14 SeptCucuta1 – 2MillonariosW
Alianza Valledupar4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 9 NovAlianza Valledupar1 – 2LlanerosL
  • 2 NovIndependiente Medellin2 – 1Alianza ValleduparL
  • 29 OctOnce Caldas1 – 0Alianza ValleduparL
  • 25 OctAlianza Valledupar1 – 0Internacional de BogotaW
  • 20 OctDeportivo Pasto0 – 1Alianza ValleduparW
  • 10 OctAlianza Valledupar2 – 2Águilas DoradasD
  • 3 OctDeportivo Cali3 – 1Alianza ValleduparL
  • 27 SeptJaguares1 – 2Alianza ValleduparW
  • 19 SeptAlianza Valledupar1 – 4Santa FeL
  • 16 SeptChico1 – 2Alianza ValleduparW
H2H
Head to headMillonarios 5W · 2D · Alianza Valledupar 3W · 3 goals a game
  • 3 MayAlianza Valledupar2 – 2Millonarios
  • 13 SeptAlianza Valledupar3 – 0Millonarios
  • 30 MarMillonarios2 – 0Alianza Valledupar
  • 28 JulAlianza Valledupar2 – 1Millonarios
  • 1 FebMillonarios1 – 1Alianza Valledupar
  • 6 OctAlianza Valledupar1 – 2Millonarios
  • 29 SeptMillonarios2 – 0Alianza Valledupar
  • 30 JulAlianza Valledupar1 – 0Millonarios
  • 11 MayMillonarios3 – 1Alianza Valledupar
  • 30 OctAlianza Valledupar2 – 4Millonarios

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7311.3% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X44.9%
1240.7%
X214.4%

Match result

Millonarios1.3
Draw4.8
Alianza Valledupar9

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.06

12

Chance40.7%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance14.4%
Odds3.3

Millonarios

Chance70.7%
Odds1.3

Draw

Chance19.1%
Odds4.8

Alianza Valledupar

Chance10.2%
Odds9

First half result

Millonarios52.4% · 1.73
Draw36.3% · 2.5
Alianza Valledupar11.3% · 8

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.3

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 4.80

MillonariosAlianza Valledupar
Recent form54%46%
Attack57%43%
Defence59%41%
Goals model57%43%
Head-to-head60%40%
Overall87%13%

Trends

Trend · Primera A

Millonarios scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera A

Millonarios conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera A

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Primera A

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar: prediction & preview

Colombia · Primera A · Sat, 14 Nov 2026

Millonarios meet Alianza Valledupar in the Colombia, Primera A on 14 November 2026 at 21:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Millonarios at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 70.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar match?

Kickoff is 21:30 on 14 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?

Millonarios is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 70.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.