Get Premium

Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 9 Aug 2026

Monterey Bay

12th in table · 24 pts

LWLLW

Sun, 9 Aug 202603:00

2 : 5

Full time

New Mexico United

1st in table · 52 pts

LWWLW

Pre-match win probability

40.6%Monterey Bay26.3%Draw33.1%New Mexico United

Our prediction

2 · Monterey Bay

Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United listed tip from the board.

Odds2.7
Confidence40.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monterey Bay 40.6%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • New Mexico United 33.1%

Season statistics

USL Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Monterey BayNew Mexico United
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.4
Wins
615
Played
3030

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Monterey Bay2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctMonterey Bay2 – 1Las Vegas LightsW
  • 18 OctMonterey Bay0 – 1Colorado SpringsL
  • 11 OctNew Mexico United3 – 1Monterey BayL
  • 4 OctOrange County SC1 – 2Monterey BayW
  • 27 SeptMonterey Bay2 – 3LexingtonL
  • 20 SeptCharleston Battery1 – 0Monterey BayL
  • 6 SeptMonterey Bay1 – 1Phoenix RisingD
  • 30 AugMonterey Bay1 – 1Sacramento RepublicD
  • 23 AugRhode Island3 – 1Monterey BayL
  • 16 AugOakland Roots1 – 1Monterey BayD
New Mexico United4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctEl Paso Locomotive0 – 1New Mexico UnitedW
  • 18 OctSan Antonio1 – 0New Mexico UnitedL
  • 11 OctNew Mexico United3 – 1Monterey BayW
  • 4 OctNew Mexico United2 – 1Phoenix RisingW
  • 1 OctFC Tulsa1 – 0New Mexico UnitedL
  • 27 SeptNew Mexico United2 – 3Sacramento RepublicL
  • 20 SeptColorado Springs0 – 0New Mexico UnitedD
  • 17 SeptBirmingham Legion4 – 4New Mexico UnitedD
  • 12 SeptNew Mexico United2 – 2Indy ElevenD
  • 6 SeptLas Vegas Lights1 – 2New Mexico UnitedW
H2H
Head to headMonterey Bay 2W · 2D · New Mexico United 5W · 2.9 goals a game
  • 11 OctNew Mexico United3 – 1Monterey Bay
  • 21 SeptMonterey Bay1 – 1New Mexico United
  • 24 AprNew Mexico United1 – 0Monterey Bay
  • 18 AugNew Mexico United3 – 2Monterey Bay
  • 3 JunMonterey Bay1 – 0New Mexico United
  • 14 MayNew Mexico United2 – 1Monterey Bay
  • 9 AprMonterey Bay4 – 2New Mexico United
  • 21 AugNew Mexico United2 – 0Monterey Bay
  • 3 JulMonterey Bay1 – 1New Mexico United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.2% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.6% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X53.3%
X246.7%

Match result

Monterey Bay2.2
Draw3.4
New Mexico United2.7

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance53.3%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance46.7%
Odds1.55

Monterey Bay

Chance40.6%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.4

New Mexico United

Chance33.1%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 2.7

Monterey BayNew Mexico United
Recent form38%62%
Attack41%59%
Defence47%53%
Goals model41%59%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall55%45%

Trends

Trend · USL Championship

Monterey Bay scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Monterey Bay conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 10.

Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 9 Aug 2026

Monterey Bay meet New Mexico United in the USA, USL Championship on 9 August 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Monterey Bay at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United match?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 9 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United?

Monterey Bay is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.