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Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueSat, 14 Nov 2026

Northern Ireland

1st in table · 8 pts

LWDWD

Sat, 14 Nov 202620:45

vs

Not started

Ukraine

3rd in table · 4 pts

LWDLL

Pre-match win probability

39.1%Northern Ireland31%Draw30%Ukraine

Our prediction

1X · Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine listed tip from the board.

Odds1.35
Confidence74.1%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Northern Ireland 39.1%
  • Draw 31%
  • Ukraine 30%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Northern IrelandUkraine
Goals scored (avg)
0.80.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.71.4
Wins
21
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Northern Ireland4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 5 OctNorthern Ireland0 – 0GeorgiaD
  • 2 OctUkraine0 – 3Northern IrelandW
  • 28 SeptNorthern Ireland0 – 0HungaryD
  • 25 SeptGeorgia0 – 1Northern IrelandW
  • 8 JunFrance3 – 1Northern IrelandL
  • 4 JunNorthern Ireland1 – 0GuineaW
  • 31 MarWales1 – 1Northern IrelandD
  • 26 MarItaly2 – 0Northern IrelandL
  • 17 NovNorthern Ireland1 – 0LuxembourgW
  • 14 NovSlovakia1 – 0Northern IrelandL
Ukraine4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 5 OctUkraine1 – 2HungaryL
  • 2 OctUkraine0 – 3Northern IrelandL
  • 28 SeptGeorgia0 – 0UkraineD
  • 25 SeptHungary0 – 1UkraineW
  • 7 JunDenmark2 – 1UkraineL
  • 31 MayPoland0 – 2UkraineW
  • 31 MarUkraine1 – 0AlbaniaW
  • 26 MarUkraine1 – 3SwedenL
  • 16 NovUkraine2 – 0IcelandW
  • 13 NovFrance4 – 0UkraineL
H2H
Head to headNorthern Ireland 2W · 0D · Ukraine 1W · 2 goals a game
  • 2 OctUkraine0 – 3Northern Ireland
  • 3 JunUkraine1 – 0Northern Ireland
  • 16 JunUkraine0 – 2Northern Ireland

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.1% · 2.615.9% · 1.48
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.2% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X35.1%
1234.8%
X230.1%

Match result

Northern Ireland2.3
Draw2.9
Ukraine3

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance35.1%
Odds1.35

12

Chance34.8%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance30.1%
Odds1.57

Northern Ireland

Chance39.1%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance31%
Odds2.9

Ukraine

Chance30%
Odds3

First half result

Northern Ireland31.1% · 2.9
Draw45.1% · 2
Ukraine23.8% · 3.8

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.44

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.35

Northern IrelandUkraine
Recent form54%46%
Attack47%53%
Defence59%41%
Goals model47%53%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall57%43%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland scored 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland conceded 0.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sat, 14 Nov 2026

Northern Ireland meet Ukraine in the World, UEFA Nations League on 14 November 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Northern Ireland at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Northern Ireland vs Ukraine match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 14 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Northern Ireland is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.6 and under 2.5 is 1.48.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.