Get Premium

Portugal vs Denmark Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueSat, 14 Nov 2026

Portugal

1st in table · 12 pts

LWWWW

Sat, 14 Nov 202620:45

vs

Not started

Denmark

2nd in table · 6 pts

WLWLW

Pre-match win probability

62.3%Portugal21.4%Draw16.3%Denmark

Our prediction

1 · Portugal

Portugal vs Denmark listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence69.4%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Portugal 62.3%
  • Draw 21.4%
  • Denmark 16.3%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PortugalDenmark
Goals scored (avg)
1.91.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.5
Wins
42
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Portugal7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 4 OctPortugal2 – 1NorwayW
  • 1 OctDenmark2 – 4PortugalW
  • 27 SeptNorway1 – 2PortugalW
  • 24 SeptPortugal1 – 0WalesW
  • 6 JulPortugal0 – 1SpainL
  • 3 JulPortugal2 – 1CroatiaW
  • 28 JunColombia0 – 0PortugalD
  • 23 JunPortugal5 – 0UzbekistanW
  • 17 JunPortugal1 – 1Congo DRD
  • 10 JunPortugal2 – 1NigeriaW
Denmark4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 4 OctWales0 – 1DenmarkW
  • 1 OctDenmark2 – 4PortugalL
  • 27 SeptDenmark2 – 0WalesW
  • 24 SeptNorway3 – 2DenmarkL
  • 7 JunDenmark2 – 1UkraineW
  • 3 JunCongo DR0 – 0DenmarkD
  • 31 MarCzechia1 – 1DenmarkD
  • 26 MarDenmark4 – 0FYR MacedoniaW
  • 18 NovScotland4 – 2DenmarkL
  • 15 NovDenmark2 – 2BelarusD
H2H
Head to headPortugal 3W · 0D · Denmark 1W · 4.8 goals a game
  • 1 OctDenmark2 – 4Portugal
  • 23 MarPortugal5 – 2Denmark
  • 20 MarDenmark1 – 0Portugal
  • 13 JunDenmark2 – 3Portugal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.8% · 1.59.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes56.6%
No43.4%

Double chance

1X42%
1239.2%
X218.8%

Match result

Portugal1.44
Draw4.2
Denmark5.5

Both teams to score

Yes56.6% · 1.65
No43.4% · 2.15

1X

Chance42%
Odds1.12

12

Chance39.2%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance18.8%
Odds2.5

Portugal

Chance62.3%
Odds1.44

Draw

Chance21.4%
Odds4.2

Denmark

Chance16.3%
Odds5.5

First half result

Portugal45.7% · 1.95
Draw36.4% · 2.45
Denmark17.8% · 5

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.25

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.44

PortugalDenmark
Recent form61%39%
Attack51%49%
Defence59%41%
Goals model51%49%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall79%21%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Portugal scored 1.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Portugal conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Portugal vs Denmark: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sat, 14 Nov 2026

Portugal meet Denmark in the World, UEFA Nations League on 14 November 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Portugal at 1.44. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.65.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Portugal vs Denmark FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Portugal vs Denmark match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 14 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Portugal vs Denmark?

Portugal is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.44. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.65. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.