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Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 10 Oct 2026

Rayo Vallecano

11th in table · 12 pts

DDLWW

Sat, 10 Oct 202613:00

vs

Not started

Athletic Club

7th in table · 12 pts

WDLWW

Pre-match win probability

34%Rayo Vallecano29.3%Draw36.6%Athletic Club

Our prediction

Athletic Club

Athletic Club is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.6
Confidence36.6%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rayo Vallecano 34%
  • Draw 29.3%
  • Athletic Club 36.6%

Season statistics

La Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club
Goals scored (avg)
1.82
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.10.6
Wins
33
Played
109

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Rayo Vallecano4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctRayo Vallecano3 – 0Celta VigoW
  • 27 OctRecreativo Huelva2 – 3Rayo VallecanoW
  • 24 OctRayo Vallecano0 – 3ElcheL
  • 19 OctGetafe1 – 1Rayo VallecanoD
  • 19 SeptOsasuna1 – 1Rayo VallecanoD
  • 15 SeptRayo Vallecano2 – 1EspanyolW
  • 12 SeptReal Madrid4 – 1Rayo VallecanoL
  • 5 SeptRayo Vallecano3 – 2Racing SantanderW
  • 31 AugBarcelona5 – 2Rayo VallecanoL
Athletic Club5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 29 OctPrat1 – 6Athletic ClubW
  • 25 OctAthletic Club4 – 0GetafeW
  • 21 OctLevante3 – 1Athletic ClubL
  • 17 OctValencia0 – 0Athletic ClubD
  • 2 OctReal Sociedad0 – 1Athletic ClubW
  • 19 SeptAthletic Club0 – 0AlavesD
  • 12 SeptAthletic Club1 – 1ElcheD
  • 5 SeptAthletic Club3 – 0Atletico MadridW
  • 30 AugCelta Vigo0 – 2Athletic ClubW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.3% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals7% · 3.417.9% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X48.3%
X251.7%

Match result

Rayo Vallecano2.8
Draw3.25
Athletic Club2.6

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

Rayo Vallecano

Chance34%
Odds2.8

Draw

Chance29.3%
Odds3.25

Athletic Club

Chance36.6%
Odds2.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Athletic Club at 2.6

Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club
Recent form44%56%
Attack47%53%
Defence27%73%
Goals model47%53%
Overall48%52%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano conceded 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Rayo Vallecano meet Athletic Club in the Spain, La Liga on 10 October 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Athletic Club at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club match?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club?

Athletic Club is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.