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South Africa vs Kenya Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

South Africa

1st in table · 6 pts

WLWWW

Wed, 11 Nov 202618:00

vs

Not started

Kenya

4th in table · 1 pts

DWDLD

Pre-match win probability

75.6%South Africa17.9%Draw6.5%Kenya

Our prediction

1 · South Africa

South Africa vs Kenya listed tip from the board.

Odds1.19
Confidence84%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • South Africa 75.6%
  • Draw 17.9%
  • Kenya 6.5%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

South AfricaKenya
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.5
Wins
20
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

South Africa4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 4 OctEgypt0 – 1South AfricaW
  • 30 SeptEritrea0 – 5South AfricaW
  • 26 SeptSouth Africa2 – 1GuineaW
  • 28 JunSouth Africa0 – 1CanadaL
  • 25 JunSouth Africa1 – 0South KoreaW
  • 18 JunCzechia1 – 1South AfricaD
  • 11 JunMexico2 – 0South AfricaL
  • 6 JunJamaica1 – 1South AfricaD
  • 29 MaySouth Africa0 – 0NicaraguaD
  • 31 MarSouth Africa1 – 2PanamaL
Kenya2W 4D 2L in last 8
  • 5 OctRwanda0 – 0KenyaD
  • 1 OctGuinea1 – 0KenyaL
  • 26 SeptKenya1 – 1EritreaD
  • 7 JunKenya4 – 0LesothoW
  • 4 JunLesotho1 – 1KenyaD
  • 30 MarGrenada0 – 3KenyaW
  • 27 MarKenya1 – 1EstoniaD
  • 18 NovSenegal8 – 0KenyaL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
1.5 goals24% · 1.279.4% · 3.25
2.5 goals15.4% · 1.9817.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals8.2% · 3.7325.2% · 1.21

Both teams to score

Yes32.6%
No67.4%

Double chance

1277%
X223%

Match result

South Africa1.19
Draw5.03
Kenya13.9

Both teams to score

Yes32.6% · 2.81
No67.4% · 1.36

12

Chance77%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance23%
Odds3.61

South Africa

Chance75.6%
Odds1.19

Draw

Chance17.9%
Odds5.03

Kenya

Chance6.5%
Odds13.9

First half result

South Africa54.6% · 1.65
Draw37.5% · 2.4
Kenya7.8% · 11.5

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.3

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.19

South AfricaKenya
Recent form60%40%
Attack48%52%
Defence59%41%
Goals model48%52%
Overall92%8%

Trends

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

South Africa scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

South Africa conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

South Africa vs Kenya: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Wed, 11 Nov 2026

South Africa meet Kenya in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 11 November 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is South Africa at 1.19. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 75.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 53.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.36.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

South Africa vs Kenya FAQs

4 questions

What time is the South Africa vs Kenya match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 11 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for South Africa vs Kenya?

South Africa is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.19. The margin-adjusted share is about 75.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.98 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.81. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.