Get Premium

UD Ourense vs Barakaldo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 10 Oct 2026

UD Ourense

19th in table · 5 pts

DLLLW

Sat, 10 Oct 202617:45

1 : 0

Full time

Barakaldo

15th in table · 11 pts

DDWDD

Pre-match win probability

25.7%UD Ourense28.1%Draw46.2%Barakaldo

Our prediction

X2 · UD Ourense

UD Ourense vs Barakaldo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence46.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • UD Ourense 25.7%
  • Draw 28.1%
  • Barakaldo 46.2%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

UD OurenseBarakaldo
Goals scored (avg)
0.40.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91
Wins
12
Played
910

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

UD Ourense1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 1 NovUD Ourense1 – 0Cultural LeonesaW
  • 29 OctGimnástica Torrelavega3 – 1UD OurenseL
  • 24 OctArenas Getxo2 – 0UD OurenseL
  • 18 OctReal Avilés3 – 0UD OurenseL
  • 3 OctReal Unión1 – 1UD OurenseD
  • 27 SeptUD Ourense0 – 0CacereñoD
  • 19 SeptUnionistas de Salamanca3 – 1UD OurenseL
  • 12 SeptUD Ourense0 – 3UD LogroñésL
  • 5 SeptMirandes2 – 0UD OurenseL
Barakaldo2W 5D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovBarakaldo0 – 0PontevedraD
  • 24 OctPonferradina0 – 0BarakaldoD
  • 17 OctBarakaldo2 – 0MirandesW
  • 3 OctBarakaldo1 – 1Arenas GetxoD
  • 27 SeptBarakaldo3 – 3Real AvilésD
  • 19 SeptRacing Ferrol1 – 0BarakaldoL
  • 11 SeptBarakaldo1 – 0Extremadura 1924W
  • 5 SeptCD Coria4 – 1BarakaldoL
  • 30 AugBarakaldo0 – 0Cultural LeonesaD
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X41.8%
X258.2%

Match result

UD Ourense3.5
Draw3.2
Barakaldo1.95

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance41.8%
Odds1.7

X2

Chance58.2%
Odds1.22

UD Ourense

Chance25.7%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance28.1%
Odds3.2

Barakaldo

Chance46.2%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.22

UD OurenseBarakaldo
Recent form31%69%
Attack31%69%
Defence35%65%
Goals model31%69%
Overall36%64%

Trends

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

UD Ourense scored 0.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

UD Ourense conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

UD Ourense vs Barakaldo: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

UD Ourense meet Barakaldo in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 10 October 2026 at 17:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Barakaldo at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

UD Ourense vs Barakaldo FAQs

4 questions

What time is the UD Ourense vs Barakaldo match?

Kickoff is 17:45 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for UD Ourense vs Barakaldo?

Barakaldo is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.