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Vaprus vs Kuressaare Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Estonia · MeistriliigaWed, 28 Oct 2026

Vaprus

8th in table · 36 pts

LDDLL

Wed, 28 Oct 202617:00

1 : 1

Full time

Kuressaare

9th in table · 35 pts

WWWLL

Pre-match win probability

39.6%Vaprus25.5%Draw34.9%Kuressaare

Our prediction

2 · Vaprus

Vaprus vs Kuressaare listed tip from the board.

Odds2.55
Confidence39.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vaprus 39.6%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Kuressaare 34.9%

Season statistics

Meistriliiga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

VaprusKuressaare
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.41.5
Wins
1010
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Vaprus2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 23 OctNõmme United4 – 2VaprusL
  • 18 OctLaagri2 – 0VaprusL
  • 13 OctVaprus2 – 2Kalju NommeD
  • 10 OctVaprus2 – 2Trans NarvaD
  • 20 SeptFlora Tallinn3 – 2VaprusL
  • 16 SeptPaide2 – 0VaprusL
  • 12 SeptFC Levadia Tallinn4 – 0VaprusL
  • 9 SeptVaprus3 – 2LaagriW
  • 5 SeptVaprus1 – 0Nõmme UnitedW
  • 2 SeptNõmme United3 – 2VaprusL
Kuressaare4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 24 OctKuressaare0 – 1PaideL
  • 18 OctKuressaare0 – 2FC Levadia TallinnL
  • 14 OctTrans Narva0 – 1KuressaareW
  • 11 OctKuressaare2 – 0Flora TallinnW
  • 3 OctKuressaare4 – 2Saku SportingW
  • 18 SeptLaagri0 – 0KuressaareD
  • 13 SeptKuressaare1 – 3TammekaL
  • 9 SeptFC Levadia Tallinn4 – 0KuressaareL
  • 5 SeptKuressaare3 – 1Trans NarvaW
  • 29 AugKuressaare2 – 2VaprusD
H2H
Head to headVaprus 6W · 1D · Kuressaare 3W · 3.1 goals a game
  • 29 AugKuressaare2 – 2Vaprus
  • 26 JunVaprus1 – 0Kuressaare
  • 21 AprKuressaare0 – 1Vaprus
  • 31 JanVaprus9 – 2Kuressaare
  • 21 OctVaprus0 – 1Kuressaare
  • 20 JulKuressaare2 – 1Vaprus
  • 1 JunVaprus2 – 1Kuressaare
  • 18 AprKuressaare1 – 0Vaprus
  • 1 FebKuressaare0 – 2Vaprus
  • 6 OctVaprus3 – 1Kuressaare

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.011.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.2% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.3% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X51.5%
X248.5%

Match result

Vaprus2.25
Draw3.5
Kuressaare2.55

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance51.5%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance48.5%
Odds1.53

Vaprus

Chance39.6%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.5

Kuressaare

Chance34.9%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 2.55

VaprusKuressaare
Recent form36%64%
Attack52%48%
Defence29%71%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head65%35%
Overall53%47%

Trends

Trend · Meistriliiga

Vaprus scored 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Meistriliiga

Vaprus conceded 2.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Meistriliiga

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Meistriliiga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Vaprus vs Kuressaare: prediction & preview

Estonia · Meistriliiga · Wed, 28 Oct 2026

Vaprus meet Kuressaare in the Estonia, Meistriliiga on 28 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vaprus at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vaprus vs Kuressaare FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Vaprus vs Kuressaare match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 28 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

Vaprus is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.