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Vaprus vs Nõmme United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Estonia · MeistriliigaSat, 5 Sept 2026

Vaprus

8th in table · 37 pts

DLLDL

Sat, 5 Sept 202615:00

1 : 0

Full time

Nõmme United

7th in table · 37 pts

WLLWL

Pre-match win probability

41.2%Vaprus25.2%Draw33.6%Nõmme United

Our prediction

X · Vaprus

Vaprus vs Nõmme United listed tip from the board.

Odds3.6
Confidence41.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vaprus 41.2%
  • Draw 25.2%
  • Nõmme United 33.6%

Season statistics

Meistriliiga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

VaprusNõmme United
Goals scored (avg)
1.2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.3–
Wins
1012
Played
3535

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Vaprus1W 3D 6L in last 10
  • 31 OctVaprus0 – 1PaideL
  • 28 OctVaprus1 – 1KuressaareD
  • 23 OctNõmme United4 – 2VaprusL
  • 18 OctLaagri2 – 0VaprusL
  • 13 OctVaprus2 – 2Kalju NommeD
  • 10 OctVaprus2 – 2Trans NarvaD
  • 20 SeptFlora Tallinn3 – 2VaprusL
  • 16 SeptPaide2 – 0VaprusL
  • 12 SeptFC Levadia Tallinn4 – 0VaprusL
  • 9 SeptVaprus3 – 2LaagriW
Nõmme United0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals0%1.6% · 19
    1.5 goals26.8% · 1.146.1% · 5
    2.5 goals20.4% · 1.512.2% · 2.5
    3.5 goals14.6% · 2.118.3% · 1.67

    Both teams to score

    Yes64.5%
    No35.5%

    Double chance

    1X53.3%
    X246.7%

    Match result

    Vaprus2.2
    Draw3.6
    Nõmme United2.7

    Both teams to score

    Yes64.5% · 1.44
    No35.5% · 2.62

    1X

    Chance53.3%
    Odds1.36

    X2

    Chance46.7%
    Odds1.55

    Vaprus

    Chance41.2%
    Odds2.2

    Draw

    Chance25.2%
    Odds3.6

    Nõmme United

    Chance33.6%
    Odds2.7

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: X at 3.6

    VaprusNõmme United
    Recent form86%14%
    Attack55%45%
    Defence41%59%
    Goals model55%45%
    Overall55%45%

    Trends

    Trend · Meistriliiga

    Vaprus scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Meistriliiga

    Vaprus conceded 2.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Meistriliiga

    Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

    Trend · Meistriliiga

    Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 10.

    Vaprus vs Nõmme United: prediction & preview

    Estonia · Meistriliiga · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

    Vaprus meet Nõmme United in the Estonia, Meistriliiga on 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vaprus at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Vaprus vs Nõmme United FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Vaprus vs Nõmme United match?

    Kickoff is 15:00 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Vaprus vs Nõmme United?

    Vaprus is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.2%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.