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Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL SudamericanaTue, 15 Sept 2026

Vasco DA Gama

2nd in table · 10 pts

WLLWL

Tue, 15 Sept 202623:00

2 : 0

Live

Santa Fe

DLWWL

Pre-match win probability

68.8%Vasco DA Gama20%Draw11.2%Santa Fe

Our prediction

X2 · Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe listed tip from the board.

Odds3
Confidence68.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vasco DA Gama 68.8%
  • Draw 20%
  • Santa Fe 11.2%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Vasco DA GamaSanta Fe
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.1
Wins
3–
Played
6–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Vasco DA Gama5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 30 OctVasco DA Gama1 – 4FlamengoL
  • 24 OctVasco DA Gama3 – 2CorinthiansW
  • 21 OctVasco DA Gama1 – 3Boca JuniorsL
  • 18 OctSao Paulo1 – 0Vasco DA GamaL
  • 14 OctBoca Juniors0 – 1Vasco DA GamaW
  • 10 OctVasco DA Gama0 – 0RemoD
  • 8 OctBotafogo1 – 2Vasco DA GamaW
  • 20 SeptVasco DA Gama5 – 0CoritibaW
  • 12 SeptGremio1 – 2Vasco DA GamaW
Santa Fe5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 30 OctAtletico Nacional2 – 0Santa FeL
  • 27 OctSanta Fe2 – 1BucaramangaW
  • 22 OctSanta Fe2 – 1JaguaresW
  • 19 OctLlaneros1 – 0Santa FeL
  • 11 OctSanta Fe2 – 2Fortaleza FCD
  • 6 OctIndependiente Medellin0 – 1Santa FeW
  • 29 SeptDeportivo Pereira1 – 2Santa FeW
  • 26 SeptUnion Magdalena1 – 1Santa FeD
  • 23 SeptSanta Fe0 – 1Deportivo CaliL
  • 19 SeptAlianza Valledupar1 – 4Santa FeW
H2H
Head to headVasco DA Gama 0W · 1D · Santa Fe 0W · 0 goals a game
  • 8 SeptSanta Fe0 – 0Vasco DA Gama

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X73.5%
X226.5%

Match result

Vasco DA Gama1.38
Draw4.75
Santa Fe8.5

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance73.5%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance26.5%
Odds3

Vasco DA Gama

Chance68.8%
Odds1.38

Draw

Chance20%
Odds4.75

Santa Fe

Chance11.2%
Odds8.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 3

Vasco DA GamaSanta Fe
Recent form48%52%
Attack55%45%
Defence47%53%
Goals model55%45%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall86%14%

Trends

Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Vasco DA Gama scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Vasco DA Gama conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Tue, 15 Sept 2026

Vasco DA Gama meet Santa Fe in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 15 September 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vasco DA Gama at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 68.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe match?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 15 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?

Vasco DA Gama is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 68.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.