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HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Finland · VeikkausliigaSun, 23 Aug 2026

HJK Helsinki

3rd in table · 37 pts

WWWDW

Sun, 23 Aug 202613:00

2 : 3

Full time

Gnistan

4th in table · 36 pts

DLLLD

Pre-match win probability

58%HJK Helsinki22.8%Draw19.2%Gnistan

Our prediction

1X · HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence58%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • HJK Helsinki 58%
  • Draw 22.8%
  • Gnistan 19.2%

Season statistics

Veikkausliiga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

HJK HelsinkiGnistan
Goals scored (avg)
2.51
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.6
Wins
1110
Played
2222

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

HJK Helsinki6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 29 OctInter Turku2 – 4HJK HelsinkiW
  • 25 OctHJK Helsinki2 – 2KuPSD
  • 17 OctHJK Helsinki4 – 0GnistanW
  • 12 OctAC Oulu3 – 4HJK HelsinkiW
  • 8 OctHJK Helsinki6 – 0VPSW
  • 18 SeptGnistan1 – 1HJK HelsinkiD
  • 13 SeptKuPS0 – 0HJK HelsinkiD
  • 9 SeptHJK Helsinki2 – 1Inter TurkuW
  • 5 SeptInter Turku1 – 0HJK HelsinkiL
  • 31 AugIlves1 – 2HJK HelsinkiW
Gnistan1W 5D 3L in last 9
  • 29 OctKuPS1 – 1GnistanD
  • 24 OctGnistan3 – 4AC OuluL
  • 17 OctHJK Helsinki4 – 0GnistanL
  • 12 OctVPS1 – 0GnistanL
  • 7 OctGnistan0 – 0Inter TurkuD
  • 18 SeptGnistan1 – 1HJK HelsinkiD
  • 12 SeptAC Oulu1 – 2GnistanW
  • 8 SeptGnistan1 – 1KuPSD
  • 31 AugGnistan1 – 1Turku PSD
H2H
Head to headHJK Helsinki 5W · 2D · Gnistan 2W · 3.6 goals a game
  • 17 OctHJK Helsinki4 – 0Gnistan
  • 18 SeptGnistan1 – 1HJK Helsinki
  • 18 AprGnistan0 – 3HJK Helsinki
  • 10 MarHJK Helsinki3 – 0Gnistan
  • 7 FebHJK Helsinki3 – 1Gnistan
  • 3 NovGnistan2 – 2HJK Helsinki
  • 3 OctHJK Helsinki2 – 3Gnistan
  • 28 JulGnistan2 – 4HJK Helsinki
  • 22 AprHJK Helsinki0 – 1Gnistan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.8% · 1.59.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X65.3%
X234.7%

Match result

HJK Helsinki1.57
Draw4
Gnistan4.75

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance65.3%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance34.7%
Odds2.2

HJK Helsinki

Chance58%
Odds1.57

Draw

Chance22.8%
Odds4

Gnistan

Chance19.2%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.17

HJK HelsinkiGnistan
Recent form72%28%
Attack71%29%
Defence58%42%
Goals model71%29%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall75%25%

Trends

Trend · Veikkausliiga

HJK Helsinki scored 2.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Veikkausliiga

HJK Helsinki conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Veikkausliiga

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Veikkausliiga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan: prediction & preview

Finland · Veikkausliiga · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

HJK Helsinki meet Gnistan in the Finland, Veikkausliiga on 23 August 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is HJK Helsinki at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan FAQs

4 questions

What time is the HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan match?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan?

HJK Helsinki is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 58%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.