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KuPS vs Mariehamn Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Finland · VeikkausliigaSun, 23 Aug 2026

KuPS

1st in table · 43 pts

WLDDL

Sun, 23 Aug 202613:00

2 : 4

Full time

Mariehamn

12th in table · 14 pts

LWLDD

Pre-match win probability

73.7%KuPS16%Draw10.2%Mariehamn

Our prediction

1 · KuPS

KuPS vs Mariehamn listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence73.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • KuPS 73.7%
  • Draw 16%
  • Mariehamn 10.2%

Season statistics

Veikkausliiga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

KuPSMariehamn
Goals scored (avg)
0.91
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.2
Wins
123
Played
2222

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

KuPS2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 1 NovAC Oulu2 – 0KuPSL
  • 29 OctKuPS1 – 1GnistanD
  • 25 OctHJK Helsinki2 – 2KuPSD
  • 22 OctBorac Banja Luka2 – 0KuPSL
  • 18 OctKuPS2 – 0VPSW
  • 15 OctKuPS2 – 4TrabzonsporL
  • 11 OctInter Turku1 – 0KuPSL
  • 8 OctKuPS0 – 1AC OuluL
  • 19 SeptVPS0 – 2KuPSW
  • 13 SeptKuPS0 – 0HJK HelsinkiD
Mariehamn3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 17 OctFF Jaro1 – 1MariehamnD
  • 10 OctMariehamn1 – 1IlvesD
  • 18 SeptSJK2 – 1MariehamnL
  • 12 SeptMariehamn1 – 0Turku PSW
  • 8 SeptLahti2 – 1MariehamnL
  • 31 AugMariehamn2 – 0FF JaroW
  • 15 AugMariehamn2 – 0SJKW
  • 9 AugIlves2 – 0MariehamnL
  • 1 AugTurku PS3 – 0MariehamnL
H2H
Head to headKuPS 4W · 3D · Mariehamn 2W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 16 MayMariehamn1 – 1KuPS
  • 14 MarKuPS2 – 0Mariehamn
  • 18 JunMariehamn1 – 0KuPS
  • 23 AprKuPS4 – 1Mariehamn
  • 25 AugKuPS3 – 0Mariehamn
  • 16 JunMariehamn1 – 3KuPS
  • 13 AprMariehamn2 – 2KuPS
  • 5 JulMariehamn1 – 1KuPS
  • 27 JunKuPS0 – 1Mariehamn

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16.9% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
3.5 goals11.8% · 213.6% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X77.8%
X222.2%

Match result

KuPS1.25
Draw5.75
Mariehamn9

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance77.8%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance22.2%
Odds3.75

KuPS

Chance73.7%
Odds1.25

Draw

Chance16%
Odds5.75

Mariehamn

Chance10.2%
Odds9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.25

KuPSMariehamn
Recent form45%55%
Attack47%53%
Defence49%51%
Goals model47%53%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall88%12%

Trends

Trend · Veikkausliiga

KuPS scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Veikkausliiga

KuPS conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Veikkausliiga

Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Veikkausliiga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

KuPS vs Mariehamn: prediction & preview

Finland · Veikkausliiga · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

KuPS meet Mariehamn in the Finland, Veikkausliiga on 23 August 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is KuPS at 1.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 73.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

KuPS vs Mariehamn FAQs

4 questions

What time is the KuPS vs Mariehamn match?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for KuPS vs Mariehamn?

KuPS is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 73.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.